Game number 3

The score (after 2 games) is: Shos 2, juggler 2 (match to 5 points)

[First Game] [Previous Game] [Last Game]

Match Information

Date	Dezember 10, 2009
Comment	A casual match on FIBS. The reason we analyzed it was game 3 with two cube blunders; both of us took cubes we shouldn't have taken. gnubg seems to be a bit off with its estimates compared to Snowie 4.

Move number 1: juggler to play 63

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: Shos 167, juggler 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAivACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 24/18 13/10

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/18 13/10	+0,049
			0,514 0,136 0,006 - 0,486 0,136 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	24/15	+0,022 ( -0,027)
			0,510 0,123 0,005 - 0,490 0,134 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/4	-0,024 ( -0,073)
			0,493 0,143 0,006 - 0,507 0,141 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	24/21 13/7	-0,027 ( -0,076)
			0,494 0,138 0,007 - 0,506 0,140 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/21 24/18	-0,039 ( -0,088)
			0,498 0,119 0,006 - 0,502 0,146 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 2: Shos to play 64

Pip counts: Shos 167, juggler 158
Position ID: 4HPiQSDgc/ABMA Match ID: MAGzACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 24/20 13/7*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,033	(Money: -0,030)
	0,486 0,136 0,004 - 0,514 0,136 0,006
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,049
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,049
3.	Double, take	-0,504	-0,455
Proper cube action:		No double, take (30,2%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/20 13/7*	+0,039
			0,508 0,140 0,006 - 0,492 0,128 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/9 13/7*	-0,011 ( -0,050)
			0,496 0,152 0,007 - 0,504 0,147 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/7*/3	-0,112 ( -0,151)
			0,475 0,135 0,005 - 0,525 0,152 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/2 6/2	-0,212 ( -0,250)
			0,448 0,127 0,003 - 0,552 0,150 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/7* 8/4	-0,240 ( -0,279)
			0,451 0,128 0,006 - 0,549 0,177 0,013
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 3: juggler to play 23

Pip counts: Shos 157, juggler 165
Position ID: 4OvgASHgc+IBUA Match ID: cAmtACAAEAAA

• juggler moves bar/23 8/5*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,037	(Money: -0,028)
	0,492 0,128 0,004 - 0,508 0,140 0,006
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,039
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,039
3.	Double, take	-0,478	-0,439
Proper cube action:		No double, take (29,7%)

Alert: bad move ( -0,101)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	bar/23 13/10	-0,069
			0,487 0,125 0,004 - 0,513 0,145 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	bar/23 8/5*	-0,170 ( -0,101)
			0,468 0,129 0,006 - 0,532 0,172 0,009
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/22 24/22	-0,177 ( -0,108)
			0,456 0,100 0,002 - 0,544 0,122 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/22 10/8	-0,263 ( -0,194)
			0,444 0,102 0,003 - 0,556 0,159 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	bar/23 10/7	-0,296 ( -0,227)
			0,437 0,109 0,004 - 0,563 0,169 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 4: Shos to play 15

Pip counts: Shos 162, juggler 160
Position ID: 0GfiASjg6+ABUA Match ID: MIG0ACAAEAAA

• Shos moves bar/20* 8/7

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,139	(Money: +0,111)
	0,532 0,172 0,009 - 0,468 0,129 0,006
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,170
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,830
3.	Double, take	-0,124	-0,294
Proper cube action:		No double, take (26,2%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/20* 8/7	+0,557
			0,615 0,199 0,013 - 0,385 0,089 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/20* 7/6	+0,320 ( -0,237)
			0,566 0,180 0,011 - 0,434 0,110 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/20* 24/23	+0,241 ( -0,316)
			0,548 0,171 0,010 - 0,452 0,115 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	0	bar/20* 6/5	+0,174 ( -0,383)
			0,537 0,168 0,011 - 0,463 0,134 0,006
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	bar/24 6/1*	-0,241 ( -0,798)
			0,449 0,134 0,006 - 0,551 0,180 0,012
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 5: juggler to play 45

Pip counts: Shos 156, juggler 180
Position ID: 4NvgASHgM/EAVA Match ID: cAm2ACAAEAAA

• juggler moves bar/20 24/20

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,423	(Money: -0,350)
	0,385 0,089 0,002 - 0,615 0,199 0,013
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,557
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,557
3.	Double, take	-1,292	-0,735
Proper cube action:		No double, take (32,1%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/20 24/20	-0,313
			0,426 0,091 0,002 - 0,574 0,139 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/21 10/5*	-0,427 ( -0,115)
			0,416 0,103 0,003 - 0,584 0,199 0,011
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/20 10/6	-0,523 ( -0,210)
			0,389 0,087 0,002 - 0,611 0,188 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/21 13/8	-0,570 ( -0,258)
			0,383 0,089 0,002 - 0,617 0,207 0,012
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	bar/21 6/1*	-0,602 ( -0,290)
			0,382 0,086 0,002 - 0,618 0,219 0,014
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 6: Shos to play 62

Pip counts: Shos 156, juggler 171
Position ID: 4DPxgBHg2+ABIQ Match ID: MAGrACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 24/22 20/14

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,225	(Money: +0,198)
	0,574 0,139 0,003 - 0,426 0,091 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,313
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,687
3.	Double, take	+0,107	-0,205
Proper cube action:		No double, take (23,0%)

Alert: very bad move ( -0,145)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	24/18 20/18	+0,332
			0,593 0,099 0,002 - 0,407 0,082 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	24/22 13/7	+0,199 ( -0,133)
			0,550 0,133 0,004 - 0,450 0,109 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	20/18 13/7	+0,193 ( -0,139)
			0,552 0,125 0,003 - 0,448 0,110 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	4	2	24/22 20/14	+0,187 ( -0,145)
			0,553 0,118 0,003 - 0,447 0,113 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/16	+0,109 ( -0,224)
			0,537 0,111 0,003 - 0,463 0,124 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 7: juggler to play 56

Pip counts: Shos 148, juggler 171
Position ID: 4NvgBQjgM/GAEQ Match ID: cIm6ACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 13/8 10/4

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,116	(Money: -0,112)
	0,447 0,113 0,002 - 0,553 0,118 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,187
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,187
3.	Double, take	-0,784	-0,596
Proper cube action:		No double, take (33,4%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/8 10/4	-0,314
			0,415 0,101 0,002 - 0,585 0,118 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/2	-0,367 ( -0,053)
			0,400 0,099 0,002 - 0,600 0,114 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/8 13/7	-0,376 ( -0,062)
			0,405 0,098 0,002 - 0,595 0,129 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/7 10/5	-0,379 ( -0,065)
			0,406 0,097 0,002 - 0,594 0,137 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/7 8/3*	-0,440 ( -0,126)
			0,400 0,099 0,002 - 0,600 0,165 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 8: Shos to play 66

Pip counts: Shos 148, juggler 160
Position ID: yOfggBHg2+AFCA Match ID: MAG7ACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 22/10 14/8 13/7

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,197	(Money: +0,188)
	0,585 0,118 0,002 - 0,415 0,101 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,314
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,686
3.	Double, take	+0,122	-0,193
Proper cube action:		No double, take (21,9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	22/10 14/8 13/7	+0,762
			0,673 0,127 0,003 - 0,327 0,063 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	22/4 14/8	+0,708 ( -0,054)
			0,668 0,102 0,002 - 0,332 0,063 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	22/16 14/8 13/7(2)	+0,637 ( -0,125)
			0,652 0,121 0,002 - 0,348 0,070 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	22/4 13/7	+0,623 ( -0,139)
			0,647 0,120 0,003 - 0,353 0,076 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	22/10 8/2*(2)	+0,590 ( -0,172)
			0,637 0,150 0,005 - 0,363 0,078 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 9: juggler to play 13

Pip counts: Shos 124, juggler 160
Position ID: 4LsTBwDI5+CAEQ Match ID: cImsACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 8/5 6/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,449	(Money: -0,412)
	0,327 0,063 0,001 - 0,673 0,127 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,762
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,762
3.	Double, take	-1,773	-1,011
Proper cube action:		No double, take (36,4%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/5 6/5	-0,831
			0,305 0,050 0,001 - 0,695 0,105 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/10 6/5	-0,915 ( -0,083)
			0,295 0,047 0,001 - 0,705 0,115 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/5 6/3	-0,942 ( -0,111)
			0,292 0,046 0,000 - 0,708 0,118 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/4	-0,973 ( -0,142)
			0,286 0,045 0,000 - 0,714 0,113 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	6/3 4/3	-0,987 ( -0,156)
			0,285 0,044 0,000 - 0,715 0,116 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 10: Shos to play 61

Pip counts: Shos 124, juggler 156
Position ID: aM/ggBHguxMHAA Match ID: MAGnACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 13/7 10/9

Alert: missed double ( -0,026)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,475	(Money: +0,446)
	0,695 0,105 0,001 - 0,305 0,050 0,001
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	Double, take	+0,831
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,169
3.	No double	+0,806	-0,026
Proper cube action:		Double, take

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,071)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	10/3	+0,602
			0,644 0,094 0,002 - 0,356 0,071 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	10/4 8/7	+0,538 ( -0,064)
			0,630 0,104 0,002 - 0,370 0,082 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	2	13/7 10/9	+0,531 ( -0,071)
			0,626 0,115 0,003 - 0,374 0,081 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	10/4 7/6	+0,488 ( -0,115)
			0,621 0,102 0,002 - 0,379 0,082 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/6	+0,421 ( -0,181)
			0,607 0,116 0,003 - 0,393 0,087 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 11: juggler to play 12

Pip counts: Shos 117, juggler 156
Position ID: 4HsXBgBoz+CAEQ Match ID: cImoACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 6/5 6/4

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,308	(Money: -0,287)
	0,374 0,081 0,001 - 0,626 0,115 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,531
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,531
3.	Double, take	-1,402	-0,871
Proper cube action:		No double, take (36,3%)

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,400)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/5 6/4	-0,839
			0,305 0,049 0,000 - 0,695 0,107 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	8/7 6/4	-0,840 ( -0,001)
			0,304 0,049 0,001 - 0,696 0,107 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/3	-0,912 ( -0,073)
			0,297 0,048 0,001 - 0,703 0,118 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/10	-0,922 ( -0,083)
			0,294 0,047 0,001 - 0,706 0,115 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/11 6/5	-0,923 ( -0,084)
			0,295 0,048 0,001 - 0,705 0,118 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 12: Shos to play 15

Pip counts: Shos 117, juggler 153
Position ID: 2M3ggBHgexcGAA Match ID: MIG0ACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 9/8 6/1

Alert: missed double ( -0,059)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,480	(Money: +0,449)
	0,695 0,107 0,001 - 0,305 0,049 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	Double, take	+0,839
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,161
3.	No double	+0,780	-0,059
Proper cube action:		Double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	9/8 6/1	+0,706
			0,696 0,094 0,002 - 0,304 0,040 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	2	0	9/8 7/2*	+0,370 ( -0,337)
			0,607 0,091 0,002 - 0,393 0,081 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	3	0	9/3	+0,367 ( -0,339)
			0,603 0,101 0,002 - 0,397 0,086 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	9/4 7/6	+0,334 ( -0,373)
			0,594 0,100 0,002 - 0,406 0,086 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	9/4 8/7	+0,311 ( -0,395)
			0,590 0,097 0,002 - 0,410 0,093 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 13: juggler to play 23

Pip counts: Shos 111, juggler 153
Position ID: wXsPBgDYzeCAEQ Match ID: cAmtACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 13/10 5/3

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,488	(Money: -0,456)
	0,301 0,044 0,000 - 0,699 0,101 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,851
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,851
3.	Double, take	-1,997	-1,146
Proper cube action:		No double, take (38,2%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/10 5/3	-0,865
			0,300 0,048 0,000 - 0,700 0,107 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	8/3	-0,893 ( -0,027)
			0,296 0,048 0,001 - 0,704 0,106 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/10 8/6	-0,923 ( -0,058)
			0,290 0,048 0,000 - 0,710 0,104 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/8	-0,942 ( -0,077)
			0,289 0,048 0,000 - 0,711 0,110 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/11 13/10	-0,957 ( -0,092)
			0,289 0,045 0,000 - 0,711 0,114 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 14: Shos to play 54

Pip counts: Shos 111, juggler 148
Position ID: tM3EgBHBew8GAA Match ID: MIGyACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 8/3 7/3

Alert: missed double ( -0,057)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,490	(Money: +0,459)
	0,700 0,107 0,001 - 0,300 0,048 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	Double, take	+0,865
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,135
3.	No double	+0,809	-0,057
Proper cube action:		Double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	8/3 7/3	+0,808
			0,716 0,117 0,003 - 0,284 0,034 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	2	0	7/2* 6/2	+0,434 ( -0,373)
			0,619 0,115 0,002 - 0,381 0,089 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	3	0	8/4 6/1	+0,427 ( -0,381)
			0,613 0,124 0,002 - 0,387 0,088 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	7/3 6/1	+0,417 ( -0,391)
			0,610 0,125 0,003 - 0,390 0,088 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	6/2* 6/1	+0,339 ( -0,469)
			0,597 0,107 0,001 - 0,403 0,099 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 15: juggler to play 32

Pip counts: Shos 102, juggler 148
Position ID: Ge8OBgC0zcSAEQ Match ID: cImpACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 8/3

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,598	(Money: -0,546)
	0,275 0,033 0,000 - 0,725 0,127 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,998
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,998
3.	Double, take	-2,260	-1,262
Proper cube action:		No double, take (38,7%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/3	-1,000
			0,279 0,039 0,000 - 0,721 0,119 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	10/7 8/6	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,273 0,038 0,000 - 0,727 0,120 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	10/5	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,267 0,037 0,000 - 0,733 0,121 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/6 8/5	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,264 0,037 0,000 - 0,736 0,122 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	10/7 5/3	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,266 0,036 0,000 - 0,734 0,129 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 16: Shos on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Shos 102, juggler 143
Position ID: bJvEgBEZ7w4GAA Match ID: MAGgACAAEAAA

• Shos doubles

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0,567

(Money: +0,537)

Cubeful equities:

Double, pass

+1,000

Double, take

+1,155

+0,155

No double

+0,898

-0,102

Proper cube action:

Double, pass

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Centered 1-cube	0,731	0,118	0,000	-	0,269	0,043	0,000	+0,567	+0,898
Standard error	0,004	0,006	0,001	-	0,004	0,009	0,001	0,008	0,019
Player juggler owns 2-cube	0,731	0,130	0,003	-	0,269	0,058	0,001	+1,395	+1,155
Standard error	0,004	0,007	0,006	-	0,004	0,008	0,001	0,022	0,026

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

173 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 839047577 and quasi-random dice

Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0,32

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

One of the moves we rolled out.

This position is interesting because gnubg initially saw it only as a 0.036
error, i.e. a mere matter of taste in my world. Snowie 3ply saw it right
away as the blunder that it is.

Now that Shos has the 3-point made it's not a take any more.
(The checker on the ace point appears to be more of a liability,
even though it gives Shos a few hit-and-cover shots --
some of the doubles don't play nicely any more because they
leave the blot.)

Move number 17: Shos doubles to 2

Pip counts: Shos 102, juggler 143
Position ID: bJvEgBEZ7w4GAA Match ID: MBmgACAAEAAA

• juggler accepts

Alert: wrong take ( -0,155)! [very bad]

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0,567

(Money: +0,537)

Cubeful equities:

Double, pass

+1,000

Double, take

+1,155

+0,155

No double

+0,898

-0,102

Proper cube action:

Double, pass

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Centered 1-cube	0,731	0,118	0,000	-	0,269	0,043	0,000	+0,567	+0,898
Standard error	0,004	0,006	0,001	-	0,004	0,009	0,001	0,008	0,019
Player juggler owns 2-cube	0,731	0,130	0,003	-	0,269	0,058	0,001	+1,395	+1,155
Standard error	0,004	0,007	0,006	-	0,004	0,008	0,001	0,022	0,026

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

173 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 839047577 and quasi-random dice

Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0,32

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Before Shos made the 3pt it was a take; now it's a pass. Good reference position.
(Sho's ace pt blot is more a liability than an asset. Although it allows for some
pick-and-pass moves it makes it more risky to just hit and cover on the 2. My 4 block
is a substantial threat.)

gnubg's 2ply here saw only a 0.036 error, i.e. a matter of taste in my world.
(gnubg's odd plies are better, as an exception.)

Snowie's 3ply estimate was better. Interestingly the rollout results differ quite a bit,
Snowie gives us a 0.228 blunder after 1296 games.

Move number 18: Shos to play 61

Pip counts: Shos 102, juggler 143
Position ID: bJvEgBEZ7w4GAA Match ID: EQGnACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 8/2*/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/2*/1	+0,456
			0,732 0,135 0,002 - 0,268 0,031 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	8/1	+0,385 ( -0,072)
			0,704 0,136 0,002 - 0,296 0,040 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	0	13/6	-0,018 ( -0,474)
			0,557 0,113 0,004 - 0,443 0,073 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	13/7 8/7	-0,076 ( -0,532)
			0,538 0,107 0,003 - 0,462 0,092 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	8/2* 3/2	-0,232 ( -0,688)
			0,487 0,102 0,003 - 0,513 0,158 0,003
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 19: juggler to play 54

Pip counts: Shos 95, juggler 145
Position ID: M94NBgBsm8SAQQ Match ID: UYmyACAAEAAA

• juggler moves bar/21 10/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,568	(Money: -0,570)
	0,268 0,031 0,000 - 0,732 0,135 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,456
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,456
3.	Double, take	-0,925	-0,469
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (24,4%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/21 10/5	-0,446
			0,269 0,034 0,001 - 0,731 0,128 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/21 8/3	-0,463 ( -0,017)
			0,264 0,033 0,001 - 0,736 0,134 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/20 10/6	-0,492 ( -0,047)
			0,226 0,021 0,000 - 0,774 0,056 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/16	-0,496 ( -0,051)
			0,231 0,020 0,000 - 0,769 0,075 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	bar/20 8/4	-0,502 ( -0,057)
			0,223 0,020 0,000 - 0,777 0,061 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 20: Shos to play 33

Pip counts: Shos 95, juggler 136
Position ID: bDfBgAUz3g0GAA Match ID: EYGtACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 13/7(2)

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,049)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/4* 7/4	+0,762
			0,820 0,224 0,002 - 0,180 0,016 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	13/7(2)	+0,713 ( -0,049)
			0,840 0,115 0,001 - 0,160 0,007 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/10(2) 7/4*(2)	+0,704 ( -0,058)
			0,797 0,224 0,002 - 0,203 0,020 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	7/4*(3) 6/3	+0,603 ( -0,159)
			0,753 0,235 0,002 - 0,247 0,027 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/10(2) 7/4*/1	+0,565 ( -0,197)
			0,762 0,169 0,001 - 0,238 0,025 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 21: juggler to play 35

Pip counts: Shos 83, juggler 136
Position ID: M943AABsN8GABQ Match ID: UYm1ACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 13/8 5/2

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,786	(Money: -0,787)
	0,160 0,007 0,000 - 0,840 0,115 0,001
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,713
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,713
3.	Double, take	-1,354	-0,641
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (27,2%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/10 13/8	-0,697
			0,169 0,011 0,000 - 0,831 0,121 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	13/8 5/2	-0,699 ( -0,002)
			0,174 0,012 0,000 - 0,826 0,139 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/5	-0,709 ( -0,012)
			0,169 0,012 0,000 - 0,831 0,134 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/10 8/3	-0,712 ( -0,015)
			0,168 0,011 0,000 - 0,832 0,134 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	8/3 5/2	-0,719 ( -0,022)
			0,171 0,013 0,000 - 0,829 0,151 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 22: Shos to play 22

Pip counts: Shos 83, juggler 128
Position ID: 2jaDgAUz3jcAAA Match ID: EQGpACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 8/4*(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/4*(2)	+0,886
			0,876 0,201 0,001 - 0,124 0,007 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	6/4*/2(2)	+0,754 ( -0,132)
			0,841 0,156 0,000 - 0,159 0,012 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/4*(4)	+0,678 ( -0,208)
			0,822 0,125 0,000 - 0,178 0,012 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/4* 6/4(2)	+0,664 ( -0,222)
			0,792 0,204 0,002 - 0,208 0,025 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	0	8/6(2) 3/1(2)	+0,481 ( -0,405)
			0,769 0,057 0,000 - 0,231 0,017 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 23: juggler to play 32

Pip counts: Shos 75, juggler 132
Position ID: s3kfAADaNoOAQQ Match ID: UYmpACAAEAAA

• juggler moves bar/23 13/10

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,944	(Money: -0,946)
	0,124 0,007 0,000 - 0,876 0,201 0,001
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,886
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,886
3.	Double, take	-1,499	-0,613
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (24,5%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/23 13/10	-0,790
			0,165 0,012 0,000 - 0,835 0,209 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/23 8/5	-0,792 ( -0,002)
			0,167 0,013 0,000 - 0,833 0,214 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/23 5/2	-0,824 ( -0,034)
			0,156 0,011 0,000 - 0,844 0,221 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/23 20/17	-0,858 ( -0,068)
			0,176 0,017 0,000 - 0,824 0,311 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	bar/20	-0,862 ( -0,072)
			0,079 0,004 0,000 - 0,921 0,059 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 24: Shos to play 65

Pip counts: Shos 75, juggler 127
Position ID: 2jYTgBGzeR8AAA Match ID: EQG3ACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 7/1 6/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	7/1 6/1	+0,644
			0,791 0,172 0,001 - 0,209 0,016 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	7/2* 7/1	+0,540 ( -0,104)
			0,729 0,248 0,002 - 0,271 0,034 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 25: juggler to play 25

Pip counts: Shos 64, juggler 127
Position ID: z+YeAADaNhOAEQ Match ID: UQm1ACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 10/3

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,737	(Money: -0,739)
	0,209 0,016 0,000 - 0,791 0,172 0,001
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,644
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,644
3.	Double, take	-1,161	-0,517
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (23,9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	10/5 8/6	-0,642
			0,215 0,019 0,000 - 0,785 0,188 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	10/3	-0,660 ( -0,018)
			0,213 0,019 0,000 - 0,787 0,200 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	8/6 8/3	-0,660 ( -0,018)
			0,211 0,019 0,000 - 0,789 0,197 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	20/13	-0,677 ( -0,034)
			0,220 0,018 0,000 - 0,780 0,238 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	10/5 4/2	-0,680 ( -0,038)
			0,206 0,018 0,000 - 0,794 0,204 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 26: Shos to play 16

Pip counts: Shos 64, juggler 120
Position ID: um0GgBHP5h4AAA Match ID: EYG4ACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 7/6 7/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	7/6 7/1	+0,595
			0,779 0,153 0,001 - 0,221 0,017 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	2	0	7/1 4/3	+0,089 ( -0,505)
			0,597 0,116 0,001 - 0,403 0,066 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	3	0	7/1 3/2*	-0,146 ( -0,740)
			0,503 0,150 0,001 - 0,497 0,131 0,006
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 27: juggler to play 53

Pip counts: Shos 57, juggler 120
Position ID: n80bAAC6bQaAEQ Match ID: UYmuACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 8/5 8/3

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,736	(Money: -0,737)
	0,206 0,017 0,000 - 0,794 0,165 0,001
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,645
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,645
3.	Double, take	-1,173	-0,528
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (24,3%)

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,079)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	20/17 20/15	-0,650
			0,197 0,011 0,000 - 0,803 0,144 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	20/12	-0,684 ( -0,034)
			0,204 0,011 0,000 - 0,796 0,198 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	20/15 8/5	-0,708 ( -0,058)
			0,206 0,013 0,000 - 0,794 0,229 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	4	2	8/5 8/3	-0,730 ( -0,079)
			0,186 0,013 0,000 - 0,814 0,200 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	20/15 5/2	-0,789 ( -0,139)
			0,190 0,010 0,000 - 0,810 0,273 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 28: Shos to play 11

Pip counts: Shos 57, juggler 112
Position ID: ersBgBGfzRsAAA Match ID: EYGkACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 7/6(2) 1/off(2)

Alert: bad move ( -0,083)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	7/6(2) 3/2*(2)	+0,922
			0,891 0,198 0,001 - 0,109 0,002 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	4/2*(2)	+0,876 ( -0,046)
			0,883 0,172 0,000 - 0,117 0,007 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	2	7/6(2) 1/off(2)	+0,839 ( -0,083)
			0,854 0,208 0,003 - 0,146 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	4/2*/1 4/3	+0,656 ( -0,266)
			0,814 0,124 0,000 - 0,186 0,010 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	7/6(2) 4/3(2)	+0,640 ( -0,283)
			0,810 0,113 0,000 - 0,190 0,002 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Better to shoo me off the 2pt, even if that makes 3s ugly.
This checker should indeed hit later.

Move number 29: juggler to play 41

Pip counts: Shos 53, juggler 112
Position ID: Z/MDAIDebgBgBA Match ID: UQmmACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 5/1 3/2

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,914	(Money: -0,918)
	0,146 0,000 0,000 - 0,854 0,208 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,839
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,839
3.	Double, take	-1,411	-0,571
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (23,7%)

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,062)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	20/16 3/2	-0,774
			0,177 0,000 0,000 - 0,823 0,217 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	5/1 3/2	-0,836 ( -0,062)
			0,172 0,000 0,000 - 0,828 0,273 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	20/15	-0,860 ( -0,086)
			0,151 0,000 0,000 - 0,849 0,240 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	20/16 5/4	-0,880 ( -0,106)
			0,147 0,000 0,000 - 0,853 0,251 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	20/16 2/1	-0,901 ( -0,127)
			0,141 0,000 0,000 - 0,859 0,258 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 30: Shos to play 12

Pip counts: Shos 53, juggler 107
Position ID: 7bYBgBFn8wMAAA Match ID: EYGoACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 6/4 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/4 1/off	+0,913
			0,878 0,221 0,003 - 0,122 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	6/3	+0,784 ( -0,129)
			0,835 0,199 0,002 - 0,165 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	0	4/3 4/2*	+0,376 ( -0,537)
			0,677 0,188 0,002 - 0,323 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	3/off	+0,240 ( -0,673)
			0,633 0,161 0,003 - 0,367 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	4/2*/1	+0,222 ( -0,691)
			0,620 0,179 0,002 - 0,380 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 31: juggler to play 42

Pip counts: Shos 50, juggler 107
Position ID: s/MBAKDdNgAwAg Match ID: UQmqACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 20/14

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,975	(Money: -0,980)
	0,122 0,000 0,000 - 0,878 0,221 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,913
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,913
3.	Double, take	-1,507	-0,594
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (23,7%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	20/16 3/1	-0,861
			0,155 0,000 0,000 - 0,845 0,250 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	20/14	-0,887 ( -0,026)
			0,143 0,000 0,000 - 0,857 0,245 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	20/18 20/16	-0,900 ( -0,039)
			0,134 0,000 0,000 - 0,866 0,237 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	20/18 5/1	-1,031 ( -0,171)
			0,118 0,000 0,000 - 0,882 0,332 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	20/16 4/2	-1,057 ( -0,196)
			0,112 0,000 0,000 - 0,888 0,344 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 32: Shos to play 16

Pip counts: Shos 50, juggler 101
Position ID: 7bYBAhGz8wEAAA Match ID: EYG4ACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 6/off 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/off 1/off	+0,929
			0,891 0,204 0,004 - 0,109 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	6/off 4/3	+0,885 ( -0,044)
			0,878 0,193 0,002 - 0,122 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	0	6/5* 6/off	+0,335 ( -0,594)
			0,614 0,331 0,026 - 0,386 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	6/off 3/2*	-0,041 ( -0,970)
			0,509 0,208 0,012 - 0,491 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 33: juggler to play 23

Pip counts: Shos 43, juggler 101
Position ID: 2XkAAGi3DRCIAA Match ID: UQmtACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 14/9

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,985	(Money: -0,990)
	0,109 0,000 0,000 - 0,891 0,204 0,004
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,929
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,929
3.	Double, take	-1,559	-0,630
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (24,6%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	20/17 3/1	-0,899
			0,136 0,000 0,000 - 0,864 0,241 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	14/11 3/1	-0,900 ( -0,001)
			0,140 0,000 0,000 - 0,860 0,252 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	20/17 14/12	-0,911 ( -0,012)
			0,125 0,000 0,000 - 0,875 0,225 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	20/18 14/11	-0,913 ( -0,014)
			0,125 0,000 0,000 - 0,875 0,228 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	20/15	-0,914 ( -0,015)
			0,124 0,000 0,000 - 0,876 0,226 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	6	2	14/9	-0,924 ( -0,025)
			0,128 0,000 0,000 - 0,872 0,247 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 34: Shos to play 15

Pip counts: Shos 43, juggler 96
Position ID: 7bYRABHZeQAAAA Match ID: EYG0ACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 6/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/off	+0,893
			0,872 0,216 0,005 - 0,128 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	6/1 4/3	+0,820 ( -0,073)
			0,855 0,185 0,003 - 0,145 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	0	6/5*/off	+0,358 ( -0,535)
			0,631 0,302 0,032 - 0,369 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	6/5* 6/1	+0,273 ( -0,620)
			0,595 0,317 0,026 - 0,405 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	6/1 3/2*	-0,082 ( -0,975)
			0,492 0,216 0,014 - 0,508 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 35: juggler to play 22

Pip counts: Shos 37, juggler 96
Position ID: 2TkAALTbRgBEAA Match ID: UQmpACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 20/16 9/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,958	(Money: -0,964)
	0,128 0,000 0,000 - 0,872 0,216 0,005
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,893
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,893
3.	Double, take	-1,483	-0,590
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (23,8%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	20/12	-0,869
			0,126 0,000 0,000 - 0,874 0,183 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	20/14 3/1	-0,869 ( -0,000)
			0,139 0,000 0,000 - 0,861 0,215 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	20/16 9/7 3/1	-0,872 ( -0,003)
			0,140 0,000 0,000 - 0,860 0,220 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	20/14 9/7	-0,872 ( -0,003)
			0,129 0,000 0,000 - 0,871 0,195 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	20/18 9/5 3/1	-0,883 ( -0,014)
			0,137 0,000 0,000 - 0,863 0,225 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	6	2	20/16 9/5	-0,887 ( -0,018)
			0,125 0,000 0,000 - 0,875 0,200 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 36: Shos to play 61

Pip counts: Shos 37, juggler 88
Position ID: 7XYDEBDZOQAAAA Match ID: EQGnACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 6/off 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/off 1/off	+0,936
			0,891 0,211 0,009 - 0,109 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	6/off 4/3	+0,913 ( -0,023)
			0,897 0,171 0,004 - 0,103 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	0	6/5 6/off	+0,005 ( -0,931)
			0,543 0,156 0,008 - 0,457 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	6/off 3/2*	-0,449 ( -1,385)
			0,387 0,122 0,007 - 0,613 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 37: juggler to play 41

Pip counts: Shos 30, juggler 88
Position ID: 7AwAAO12AxAQAA Match ID: UQmmACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 16/11

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,992	(Money: -1,002)
	0,109 0,000 0,000 - 0,891 0,211 0,009
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,936
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,936
3.	Double, take	-1,559	-0,622
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (24,3%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	16/11	-0,925
			0,128 0,000 0,000 - 0,872 0,247 0,015
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	16/12 5/4	-0,940 ( -0,015)
			0,130 0,000 0,000 - 0,870 0,265 0,016
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	16/12 3/2	-0,943 ( -0,018)
			0,128 0,000 0,000 - 0,872 0,264 0,016
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	16/12 2/1	-0,969 ( -0,044)
			0,121 0,000 0,000 - 0,879 0,272 0,016
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	16/15 5/1	-1,002 ( -0,077)
			0,126 0,000 0,000 - 0,874 0,318 0,019
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 38: Shos to play 51

Pip counts: Shos 30, juggler 83
Position ID: 7XaDABDsDAAAAA Match ID: EYGmACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 6/5 6/1

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,334)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	6/off	+0,671
			0,793 0,184 0,009 - 0,207 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	6/5 6/1	+0,663 ( -0,008)
			0,797 0,168 0,005 - 0,203 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/1 4/3	+0,512 ( -0,159)
			0,747 0,141 0,004 - 0,253 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	0	6/1 3/2*	-0,628 ( -1,299)
			0,343 0,073 0,002 - 0,657 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 39: juggler to play 23

Pip counts: Shos 24, juggler 83
Position ID: 2QUAAO12gwAQAA Match ID: UQmtACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 23/20* 11/9

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,761	(Money: -0,767)
	0,203 0,000 0,000 - 0,797 0,168 0,005
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,663
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,663
3.	Double, take	-1,184	-0,521
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (23,8%)

Alert: bad move ( -0,080)

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +1,126)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	23/20* 3/1	+0,658
			0,665 0,000 0,000 - 0,335 0,004 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	23/20*/18	+0,616 ( -0,042)
			0,653 0,000 0,000 - 0,347 0,038 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	2	23/20* 11/9	+0,578 ( -0,080)
			0,642 0,000 0,000 - 0,358 0,042 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	23/20* 5/3	+0,487 ( -0,171)
			0,618 0,000 0,000 - 0,382 0,045 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	0	23/20* 4/2	-0,001 ( -0,659)
			0,452 0,000 0,000 - 0,548 0,136 0,006
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Annotation

I thought it's better to catch the second checker, so I didn't cover.
But Sho's seven checkers left is enough to not warrant the collateral risk.
(Not withstanding the fact that my plan worked out beautifully.
Another misadjustment of my neural net ;-). )

Move number 40: Shos to play 63

Pip counts: Shos 44, juggler 78
Position ID: 7XYjAALZAQBAAA Match ID: EQGvACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 41: juggler to play 62

Pip counts: Shos 44, juggler 78
Position ID: 2QEAQO12IwACAA Match ID: UQmrACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 20/14 9/7

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,199	(Money: +0,198)
	0,615 0,000 0,000 - 0,385 0,031 0,001
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,490
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,510
3.	Double, take	+0,460	-0,030
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (5,6%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	20/14 3/1	+0,704
			0,676 0,000 0,000 - 0,324 0,001 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	20/14 9/7	+0,670 ( -0,033)
			0,665 0,000 0,000 - 0,335 0,036 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	20/12	+0,661 ( -0,042)
			0,663 0,000 0,000 - 0,337 0,027 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	9/1	+0,617 ( -0,086)
			0,655 0,000 0,000 - 0,345 0,002 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	20/18 9/3	+0,503 ( -0,201)
			0,619 0,000 0,000 - 0,381 0,029 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 42: Shos to play 32

Pip counts: Shos 44, juggler 70
Position ID: 7XYLCADZAQBAAA Match ID: EYGpACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 43: juggler to play 11

Pip counts: Shos 44, juggler 70
Position ID: 2QEAQO12CwgAAA Match ID: UYmkACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 14/11 7/6

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,222	(Money: +0,221)
	0,622 0,000 0,000 - 0,378 0,022 0,001
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,525
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,475
3.	Double, take	+0,488	-0,038
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (7,4%)

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,059)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	14/13 7/6 3/1	+0,760
			0,691 0,000 0,000 - 0,309 0,001 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	14/12 3/1	+0,754 ( -0,006)
			0,689 0,000 0,000 - 0,311 0,001 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	7/6 5/4 3/1	+0,745 ( -0,015)
			0,687 0,000 0,000 - 0,313 0,001 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	14/10	+0,717 ( -0,043)
			0,677 0,000 0,000 - 0,323 0,030 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	14/13 5/4 3/1	+0,714 ( -0,046)
			0,679 0,000 0,000 - 0,321 0,001 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	7	2	14/11 7/6	+0,700 ( -0,059)
			0,671 0,000 0,000 - 0,329 0,019 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 44: Shos to play 41

Pip counts: Shos 44, juggler 66
Position ID: 7XYHAQDZAQBAAA Match ID: EQGmACAAEAAA

• Shos moves bar/24*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/24*	-0,617
			0,345 0,045 0,002 - 0,655 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 45: juggler to play 31

Pip counts: Shos 43, juggler 90
Position ID: 2QEAIHa7gwBAAA Match ID: UYmlACAAEAAA

• juggler moves bar/24* 11/8

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,233	(Money: +0,230)
	0,638 0,000 0,000 - 0,362 0,044 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,562
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,438
3.	Double, take	+0,552	-0,010
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (2,3%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/24* 11/8	+1,000
			0,856 0,000 0,000 - 0,144 0,009 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/24* 5/2	+1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,856 0,000 0,000 - 0,144 0,008 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/24* 6/3	+1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,841 0,000 0,000 - 0,159 0,010 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/24* 4/1*	+0,843 ( -0,157)
			0,757 0,000 0,000 - 0,243 0,064 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

A Snowie rollout saw a recube/take here, before I hit, by 0.045 or so
(a pass being a 0.368 blunder).

Move number 46: Shos to play 56

Pip counts: Shos 67, juggler 86
Position ID: drsTACDsAABQAA Match ID: EYG6ACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 47: juggler on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Shos 67, juggler 86
Position ID: 7AAAUHa7EwAgAA Match ID: UQmgACAAEAAA

• juggler doubles

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0,555

(Money: +0,554)

Cubeful equities:

Double, pass

+1,000

Double, take

+1,369

+0,369

No double

+0,995

-0,005

Proper cube action:

Redouble, pass

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Player juggler owns 2-cube	0,781	0,000	0,000	-	0,219	0,008	0,000	+0,555	+0,995
Standard error	0,005	0,000	0,000	-	0,005	0,001	0,000	0,009	0,014
Player Shos owns 4-cube	0,843	0,000	0,000	-	0,157	0,003	0,000	+1,384	+1,369
Standard error	0,011	0,000	0,000	-	0,011	0,001	0,000	0,036	0,043

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

134 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 839047577 and quasi-random dice

Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0,32

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 48: juggler doubles to 4

Pip counts: Shos 67, juggler 86
Position ID: 7AAAUHa7EwAgAA Match ID: URGgACAAEAAA

• Shos accepts

Alert: wrong take ( -0,369)! [very bad]

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0,555

(Money: +0,554)

Cubeful equities:

Double, pass

+1,000

Double, take

+1,369

+0,369

No double

+0,995

-0,005

Proper cube action:

Redouble, pass

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Player juggler owns 2-cube	0,781	0,000	0,000	-	0,219	0,008	0,000	+0,555	+0,995
Standard error	0,005	0,000	0,000	-	0,005	0,001	0,000	0,009	0,014
Player Shos owns 4-cube	0,843	0,000	0,000	-	0,157	0,003	0,000	+1,384	+1,369
Standard error	0,011	0,000	0,000	-	0,011	0,001	0,000	0,036	0,043

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

134 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 839047577 and quasi-random dice

Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0,32

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Looks grim even if Shos makes hte ace pt which is unlikely.

Move number 49: juggler to play 26

Pip counts: Shos 67, juggler 86
Position ID: 7AAAUHa7EwAgAA Match ID: Qgm5ACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 8/2 3/1*

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,049)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	24/16	+0,778
			0,889 0,000 0,000 - 0,111 0,003 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	24/18 6/4	+0,774 ( -0,004)
			0,887 0,000 0,000 - 0,113 0,003 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	24/18 3/1*	+0,770 ( -0,008)
			0,885 0,000 0,000 - 0,115 0,009 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	24/18 8/6	+0,765 ( -0,014)
			0,882 0,000 0,000 - 0,118 0,003 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/18 5/3	+0,741 ( -0,038)
			0,870 0,000 0,000 - 0,130 0,004 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	6	2	8/2 3/1*	+0,729 ( -0,049)
			0,865 0,000 0,000 - 0,135 0,013 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Snowie sees a 0.119 blunder here.

Move number 50: Shos to play 42

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 78
Position ID: 3XYHACDsAABgAA Match ID: AgGqACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 51: juggler to play 64

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 78
Position ID: 7AAAYN12BwAgAA Match ID: QgmzACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 24/18 5/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/18 5/1	+0,879
			0,940 0,000 0,000 - 0,060 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	24/14	+0,805 ( -0,074)
			0,903 0,000 0,000 - 0,097 0,006 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	24/18 6/2	+0,752 ( -0,127)
			0,876 0,000 0,000 - 0,124 0,009 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 52: Shos to play 32

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 68
Position ID: u20HgADsAABgAA Match ID: AoGpACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 53: juggler to play 21

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 68
Position ID: 7AAAYLttB4AAAA Match ID: QgmlACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 18/16 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	18/16 6/5	+0,894
			0,947 0,000 0,000 - 0,053 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	18/17 6/4	+0,893 ( -0,001)
			0,947 0,000 0,000 - 0,053 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	18/15	+0,892 ( -0,002)
			0,946 0,000 0,000 - 0,054 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	6/3	+0,885 ( -0,009)
			0,942 0,000 0,000 - 0,058 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	18/16 2/1	+0,873 ( -0,021)
			0,937 0,000 0,000 - 0,063 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 54: Shos to play 41

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 65
Position ID: u+0GIADsAABgAA Match ID: AgGmACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 55: juggler to play 41

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 65
Position ID: 7AAAYLvtBiAAAA Match ID: QgmmACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 16/11

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	16/12 5/4	+0,912
			0,956 0,000 0,000 - 0,044 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	16/11	+0,908 ( -0,004)
			0,954 0,000 0,000 - 0,046 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	16/12 2/1	+0,897 ( -0,014)
			0,949 0,000 0,000 - 0,051 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	16/15 5/1	+0,888 ( -0,023)
			0,944 0,000 0,000 - 0,056 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	5/1 2/1	+0,847 ( -0,065)
			0,923 0,000 0,000 - 0,077 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 56: Shos to play 33

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 60
Position ID: u+0GAQDsAABgAA Match ID: AoGtACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 57: juggler to play 51

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 60
Position ID: 7AAAYLvtBgEAAA Match ID: QommACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 11/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	11/5	+0,906
			0,953 0,000 0,000 - 0,047 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	11/6 2/1	+0,902 ( -0,004)
			0,951 0,000 0,000 - 0,049 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	11/6 5/4	+0,892 ( -0,014)
			0,946 0,000 0,000 - 0,054 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	6/5 6/1	+0,822 ( -0,084)
			0,911 0,000 0,000 - 0,089 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	11/6 1/off	+0,794 ( -0,112)
			0,897 0,000 0,000 - 0,103 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 58: Shos to play 25

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 54
Position ID: u+0NAADsAABgAA Match ID: AgG1ACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 59: juggler to play 25

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 54
Position ID: 7AAAYLvtDQAAAA Match ID: Qgm1ACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 5/3 5/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	5/3 5/off	+0,910
			0,955 0,000 0,000 - 0,045 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	5/off 2/off	+0,895 ( -0,015)
			0,948 0,000 0,000 - 0,052 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/4 6/1	+0,850 ( -0,060)
			0,925 0,000 0,000 - 0,075 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	6/4 5/off	+0,723 ( -0,187)
			0,862 0,000 0,000 - 0,138 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	6/1 5/3	+0,712 ( -0,198)
			0,856 0,000 0,000 - 0,144 0,004 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 60: Shos to play 25

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 47
Position ID: u9sGAAB2AAAwAA Match ID: AgG1ACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 61: juggler to play 15

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 47
Position ID: 7AAAYLvbBgAAAA Match ID: Qom0ACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 6/5 6/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	5/4 5/off	+0,865
			0,933 0,000 0,000 - 0,067 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	6/5 6/1	+0,832 ( -0,033)
			0,916 0,000 0,000 - 0,084 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/off	+0,706 ( -0,159)
			0,853 0,000 0,000 - 0,147 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	5/off 2/1	+0,678 ( -0,187)
			0,839 0,000 0,000 - 0,161 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	5/off 3/2	+0,661 ( -0,204)
			0,831 0,000 0,000 - 0,169 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 62: Shos to play 22

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 41
Position ID: d7cDAAB2AAAwAA Match ID: AgGpACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 63: juggler to play 56

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 41
Position ID: 7AAAYHe3AwAAAA Match ID: Qom6ACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 5/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	5/off(2)	+0,704
			0,852 0,000 0,000 - 0,148 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 64: Shos to play 41

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 31
Position ID: d7cAAIAdAAAMAA Match ID: AgGmACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,391)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 65: juggler to play 26

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 31
Position ID: 7AAAYHe3AAAAAA Match ID: Qgm5ACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 5/off 2/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	5/off 2/off	+0,958
			0,979 0,000 0,000 - 0,021 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	5/off 3/1	+0,956 ( -0,002)
			0,978 0,000 0,000 - 0,022 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	5/off 4/2	+0,687 ( -0,271)
			0,843 0,000 0,000 - 0,157 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	5/3 4/off	+0,675 ( -0,283)
			0,838 0,000 0,000 - 0,162 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 66: Shos to play 22

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 24
Position ID: txsAAGAHAAADAA Match ID: AgGpACAAEAAA

• Shos cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 67: juggler to play 55

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 24
Position ID: 7AAAYLcbAAAAAA Match ID: Qom2ACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 4/off(2) 3/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	4/off(2) 3/off(2)	+0,919
			0,959 0,000 0,000 - 0,041 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 68: Shos to play 56

Pip counts: Shos 68, juggler 10
Position ID: twAAAHYAADAAAA Match ID: AoG6ACAAEAAA

• Shos moves bar/20 bar/19

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/20 bar/19	-1,000
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 69: juggler to play 53

Pip counts: Shos 57, juggler 10
Position ID: 7ACAArcAAAAAAA Match ID: QomuACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 3/off 2/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	3/off 2/off	+1,000
			1,000 0,000 0,000 - 0,000 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 70: Shos to play 62

Pip counts: Shos 57, juggler 5
Position ID: FwAAgB0AUAAAAA Match ID: AgGrACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 20/14 19/17

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	20/14 4/2	-1,000
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	20/14 3/1	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	20/18 19/13	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	19/11	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	19/13 4/2	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	7	2	20/14 19/17	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 71: juggler to play 46

Pip counts: Shos 49, juggler 5
Position ID: 7ABEABcAAAAAAA Match ID: Qgm6ACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 2/off 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	2/off 1/off	+1,000
			1,000 0,000 0,000 - 0,000 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 72: Shos to play 36

Pip counts: Shos 49, juggler 2
Position ID: AwAAYAcgAgAAAA Match ID: AoG5ACAAEAAA

• Shos moves 17/11 14/11

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	14/5	-1,000
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	17/11 4/1	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	14/8 4/1	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	17/8	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	??	2	17/11 14/11	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 73: juggler to play 22

Pip counts: Shos 40, juggler 2
Position ID: 7IABAAMAAAAAAA Match ID: QgmpACAAEAAA

• juggler moves 1/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	1/off(2)	+1,000
			1,000 0,000 0,000 - 0,000 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

juggler wins 4 points

Game statistics for game 3
Player	Shos	juggler
Checker play statistics
Total moves	34	35
Unforced moves	20	30
Unmarked moves	30	29
Moves marked doubtful	2	4
Moves marked bad	1	2
Moves marked very bad	1	0
Error total EMG (MWC)	-0,356 ( -5,661%)	-0,591 (-15,436%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC)	-17,8 ( -0,283%)	-19,7 ( -0,515%)
Chequerplay rating	Intermediate	Casual player
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	1
Rolls marked lucky	0	0
Rolls unmarked	32	33
Rolls marked unlucky	2	1
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	0
Luck total EMG (MWC)	-0,517 (-33,420%)	+0,507 (+20,626%)
Luck rate mEMG (MWC)	-15,2 ( -0,983%)	+14,5 ( +0,589%)
Luck rating	None	None
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	9	23
Close or actual cube decisions	5	5
Doubles	1	1
Takes	1	1
Passes	0	0
Missed doubles below CP (EMG (MWC))	3 (-0,141 ( -1,406%))	0
Missed doubles above CP (EMG (MWC))	0	0
Wrong doubles below DP (EMG (MWC))	0	0
Wrong doubles above TG (EMG (MWC))	0	0
Wrong takes (EMG (MWC))	1 (-0,369 ( -9,241%))	1 (-0,155 ( -1,545%))
Wrong passes (EMG (MWC))	0	0
Error total EMG (MWC)	-0,510 (-10,647%)	-0,155 ( -1,545%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC)	-101,9 ( -2,129%)	-31,0 ( -0,309%)
Cube decision rating	Awful!	Beginner
Overall statistics
Error total EMG (MWC)	-0,866 (-16,308%)	-0,746 (-16,981%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC)	-34,6 ( -0,652%)	-21,3 ( -0,485%)
Snowie error rate	-12,6 ( +0,000%)	-10,8 ( +0,000%)
Overall rating	Beginner	Casual player
Actual result	-50,00%	+50,00%
Luck adjusted result	+4,05%	-4,05%
Luck based FIBS rating diff.	+63,00
Error based abs. FIBS rating	1724,9	1752,4
Chequerplay errors rating loss	247,7	274,1
Cube errors rating loss	77,4	23,5

Match statistics
Player	Shos	juggler
Checker play statistics
Total moves	107	107
Unforced moves	78	88
Unmarked moves	98	95
Moves marked doubtful	6	7
Moves marked bad	2	3
Moves marked very bad	1	2
Error total EMG (MWC)	-0,808 (-11,079%)	-1,672 (-31,130%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC)	-10,4 ( -0,142%)	-19,0 ( -0,354%)
Chequerplay rating	Advanced	Casual player
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	1	1
Rolls marked lucky	4	4
Rolls unmarked	98	101
Rolls marked unlucky	4	1
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	0
Luck total EMG (MWC)	+0,648 (-25,012%)	+1,650 (+35,196%)
Luck rate mEMG (MWC)	+6,1 ( -0,234%)	+15,4 ( +0,329%)
Luck rating	None	None
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	67	69
Close or actual cube decisions	8	19
Doubles	2	2
Takes	2	2
Passes	0	0
Missed doubles below CP (EMG (MWC))	3 (-0,141 ( -1,406%))	3 (-0,109 ( -0,918%))
Missed doubles above CP (EMG (MWC))	0	0
Wrong doubles below DP (EMG (MWC))	1 (-0,012 ( -0,093%))	1 (-0,021 ( -0,180%))
Wrong doubles above TG (EMG (MWC))	0	0
Wrong takes (EMG (MWC))	1 (-0,369 ( -9,241%))	1 (-0,155 ( -1,545%))
Wrong passes (EMG (MWC))	0	0
Error total EMG (MWC)	-0,522 (-10,740%)	-0,285 ( -2,643%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC)	-65,2 ( -1,343%)	-15,0 ( -0,139%)
Cube decision rating	Awful!	Intermediate
Overall statistics
Error total EMG (MWC)	-1,330 (-21,820%)	-1,956 (-33,773%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC)	-15,5 ( -0,254%)	-18,3 ( -0,316%)
Snowie error rate	-6,2 ( +0,000%)	-9,1 ( +0,000%)
Overall rating	Intermediate	Casual player
Actual result	-50,00%	+50,00%
Luck adjusted result	+10,21%	-10,21%
Luck based FIBS rating diff.	+160,87
Error based abs. FIBS rating	1856,5	1774,5
Chequerplay errors rating loss	144,0	264,1
Cube errors rating loss	49,5	11,4

[First Game] [Previous Game] [Last Game]

Output generated Fri Dec 11 12:59:04 2009 by GNU Backgammon 0.90-mingw 20090721 (HTML Export version 1.214)