Game number 4

The score (after 3 games) is: salix 2, juggler 3 (match to 7 points)


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Match Information

DateSeptember 11, 2021

Move number 1: juggler to play 64

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2O ' ' ' '5X|   | '3X ' ' '5O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       6 4       |
|2X ' ' ' '5O|   | '3O ' ' '5X|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 167, juggler 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAjzACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 24/14

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 24/18 13/9 +0,048
  0,504 0,136 0,007 - 0,496 0,138 0,006  
  2 3 8/2 6/2 +0,047 (-0,001)
  0,499 0,153 0,008 - 0,501 0,144 0,007  
3 3 24/14 +0,045 (-0,003)
  0,507 0,123 0,005 - 0,493 0,135 0,005  
  4 3 24/20 13/7 -0,021 (-0,069)
  0,484 0,132 0,006 - 0,516 0,136 0,006  
  5 2 24/20 24/18 -0,039 (-0,087)
  0,490 0,117 0,005 - 0,510 0,147 0,005  

Move number 2: salix to play 43

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|1O ' ' ' '5X|   | '3X ' '1O5O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       4 3       | 1 |                 |
|2X ' ' ' '5O|   | '3O ' ' '5X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 167, juggler 157
Position ID: 4HPwBSDgc/ABMA Match ID: MAHuACAAGAAE

• salix moves 13/6

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,044(Money: -0,003)
 0,493 0,135 0,005 - 0,507 0,123 0,005
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,045 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,045
3.Double, take-0,489-0,444
Proper cube action:No double, take (29,8%)

 

Alert: bad move ( -0,116)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 24/20 13/10 -0,203
  0,456 0,116 0,004 - 0,544 0,131 0,005  
  2 3 24/21 13/9 -0,214 (-0,011)
  0,453 0,117 0,004 - 0,547 0,134 0,005  
  3 3 13/10 13/9 -0,219 (-0,016)
  0,446 0,129 0,004 - 0,554 0,136 0,007  
  4 3 24/21 24/20 -0,245 (-0,042)
  0,450 0,099 0,004 - 0,550 0,129 0,003  
5 3 13/6 -0,320 (-0,116)
  0,428 0,112 0,003 - 0,572 0,147 0,007  

Move number 3: juggler to play 62

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|1O ' ' ' '6X|   | '3X ' '1O5O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       6 2       |
|2X ' ' ' '5O|   | '3O ' ' '4X|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 160, juggler 157
Position ID: 4OfgATDgc/AFIA Match ID: cAnrACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 14/8 13/11

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,229(Money: +0,181)
 0,572 0,147 0,007 - 0,428 0,112 0,003
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,320 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,680
3.Double, take+0,092-0,227
Proper cube action:No double, take (25,0%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 14/8 13/11 +0,260
  0,557 0,142 0,007 - 0,443 0,119 0,004  
  2 3 24/22 14/8 +0,185 (-0,075)
  0,546 0,123 0,006 - 0,454 0,126 0,003  
  3 2 14/6 +0,123 (-0,136)
  0,527 0,129 0,005 - 0,473 0,129 0,003  
  4 2 14/8 6/4 +0,103 (-0,157)
  0,522 0,130 0,005 - 0,478 0,132 0,004  
  5 2 24/16 +0,087 (-0,172)
  0,528 0,106 0,004 - 0,472 0,130 0,003  

Move number 4: salix to play 31

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|1O ' ' ' '6X|   | '3X ' ' '4O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       3 1       | 1 |                 |
|2X ' ' ' '5O|   | '4O ' '1O4X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 160, juggler 149
Position ID: 4PPIAyDg5+ABMA Match ID: MIHlACAAGAAE

• salix moves 8/5 6/5

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,187(Money: -0,140)
 0,443 0,119 0,004 - 0,557 0,142 0,007
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,260 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,260
3.Double, take-0,835-0,576
Proper cube action:No double, take (31,4%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 8/5 6/5 -0,176
  0,456 0,137 0,004 - 0,544 0,135 0,007  
  2 2 13/10 6/5 -0,378 (-0,203)
  0,419 0,114 0,005 - 0,581 0,162 0,012  
  3 2 24/21 6/5 -0,411 (-0,235)
  0,413 0,102 0,004 - 0,587 0,166 0,008  
  4 2 24/23 13/10 -0,474 (-0,298)
  0,395 0,101 0,003 - 0,605 0,161 0,008  
  5 2 6/5 6/3 -0,478 (-0,302)
  0,399 0,100 0,004 - 0,601 0,175 0,014  

Move number 5: juggler to play 31

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|1O ' ' '2X5X|   | '2X ' ' '4O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       3 1       |
|2X ' ' ' '5O|   | '4O ' '1O4X|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 156, juggler 149
Position ID: sM/gATDg88gDIA Match ID: cInlACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 8/5 6/5

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,129(Money: +0,083)
 0,541 0,137 0,006 - 0,459 0,140 0,004
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,163 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,837
3.Double, take-0,187-0,350
Proper cube action:No double, take (29,5%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 8/5 6/5 +0,294
  0,568 0,159 0,006 - 0,432 0,125 0,004  
  2 2 13/10 11/10 +0,050 (-0,245)
  0,516 0,128 0,005 - 0,484 0,153 0,004  
  3 0 24/23 13/10 -0,147 (-0,442)
  0,472 0,124 0,006 - 0,528 0,189 0,008  
  4 0 24/21 11/10 -0,150 (-0,444)
  0,471 0,116 0,004 - 0,529 0,185 0,006  
  5 0 13/9 -0,152 (-0,446)
  0,469 0,124 0,006 - 0,531 0,185 0,008  

Move number 6: salix to play 13

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|1O ' ' '2X5X|   | '2X ' ' '4O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       1 3       | 1 |                 |
|2X ' ' '2O4O|   | '3O ' '1O4X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 156, juggler 145
Position ID: sOfIAyCwz+ABMA Match ID: MIHlACAAGAAE

• salix moves 24/21 6/5

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,228(Money: -0,178)
 0,429 0,121 0,004 - 0,571 0,155 0,007
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,327 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,327
3.Double, take-0,932-0,605
Proper cube action:No double, take (31,3%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 24/21 6/5 -0,407
  0,412 0,107 0,003 - 0,588 0,162 0,005  
  2 3 13/10 6/5 -0,469 (-0,062)
  0,392 0,116 0,003 - 0,608 0,159 0,009  
  3 3 24/23 24/21 -0,495 (-0,088)
  0,395 0,095 0,003 - 0,605 0,171 0,005  
  4 2 24/23 13/10 -0,532 (-0,125)
  0,385 0,105 0,004 - 0,615 0,177 0,009  
  5 2 13/9 -0,575 (-0,169)
  0,375 0,103 0,004 - 0,625 0,166 0,010  

Move number 7: juggler to play 36

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|1O ' ' '3X4X|   | '2X ' ' '4O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       3 6       |
|1X ' '1X2O4O|   | '3O ' '1O4X|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 152, juggler 145
Position ID: cM/gASKw58gDIA Match ID: cAnvACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 13/4*

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,286(Money: +0,234)
 0,588 0,162 0,005 - 0,412 0,107 0,003
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,407 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,593
3.Double, take+0,246-0,161
Proper cube action:No double, take (21,4%)

 

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,058)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 24/15 +0,302
  0,575 0,115 0,004 - 0,425 0,111 0,003  
2 3 13/4* +0,244 (-0,058)
  0,545 0,175 0,008 - 0,455 0,141 0,006  
  3 3 24/18 11/8 +0,241 (-0,061)
  0,565 0,115 0,006 - 0,435 0,120 0,003  
  4 3 11/5 8/5 +0,224 (-0,077)
  0,547 0,136 0,005 - 0,453 0,114 0,003  
  5 2 24/21 11/5 +0,184 (-0,117)
  0,545 0,131 0,005 - 0,455 0,124 0,003  

Move number 8: salix to play 51

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|1O ' ' '3X4X|   | '2X ' ' '3O|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       5 1       | 1 |                 |
|1X ' '1O2O4O|   | '3O ' '1O4X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 156, juggler 136
Position ID: aM+RAyBwz+ABUA Match ID: MIHmACAAGAAE

• salix moves bar/24 13/8

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,182(Money: -0,125)
 0,455 0,141 0,006 - 0,545 0,175 0,008
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,244 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,244
3.Double, take-0,744-0,500
Proper cube action:No double, take (28,7%)

 

Alert: bad move ( -0,082)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 bar/24 6/1* -0,541
  0,384 0,120 0,004 - 0,616 0,196 0,015  
2 3 bar/24 13/8 -0,623 (-0,082)
  0,368 0,099 0,003 - 0,632 0,180 0,011  
  3 0 bar/24 8/3 -0,896 (-0,355)
  0,341 0,086 0,003 - 0,659 0,227 0,022  

Move number 9: juggler to play 13

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|1O ' ' '3X4X|   | '3X ' ' '3O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       1 3       |
|2X ' '1O2O4O|   | '3O ' '1O3X|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 150, juggler 136
Position ID: cM/BATBoz5EDIA Match ID: cInlACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 8/4

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,411(Money: +0,352)
 0,632 0,180 0,011 - 0,368 0,099 0,003
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,623 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,377
3.Double, take+0,562-0,061
Proper cube action:No double, take (13,9%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 8/4 +0,604
  0,627 0,181 0,011 - 0,373 0,104 0,003  
  2 2 6/3 4/3 +0,485 (-0,119)
  0,606 0,173 0,010 - 0,394 0,112 0,003  
  3 0 13/10 11/10 +0,145 (-0,459)
  0,534 0,166 0,010 - 0,466 0,163 0,006  
  4 0 11/8 6/5 +0,128 (-0,475)
  0,529 0,163 0,009 - 0,471 0,160 0,006  
  5 0 13/10 6/5 +0,061 (-0,542)
  0,522 0,172 0,011 - 0,478 0,195 0,014  

Move number 10: salix to play 61

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|1O ' ' '3X4X|   | '3X ' ' '3O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       6 1       | 1 |                 |
|2X ' '2O2O4O|   | '2O ' '1O3X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 150, juggler 132
Position ID: 2J6RAyBwz8EBMA Match ID: MAHnACAAGAAE

• salix moves 13/7 8/7

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,394(Money: -0,336)
 0,373 0,101 0,003 - 0,627 0,176 0,010
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,614 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,614
3.Double, take-1,346-0,732
Proper cube action:No double, take (31,2%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 13/7 8/7 -0,508
  0,386 0,103 0,004 - 0,614 0,185 0,012  
  2 0 13/6 -1,000 (-0,492)
  0,302 0,073 0,002 - 0,698 0,191 0,012  
  3 0 8/1* -1,000 (-0,492)
  0,309 0,083 0,002 - 0,691 0,221 0,016  
  4 0 13/7 6/5 -1,000 (-0,492)
  0,306 0,070 0,002 - 0,694 0,225 0,020  
  5 0 24/23 24/18 -1,000 (-0,492)
  0,334 0,082 0,004 - 0,666 0,310 0,009  

Move number 11: juggler to play 22

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|1O ' ' '3X4X|   |2X2X ' ' '3O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       2 2       |
|2X ' '2O2O4O|   | '2O ' '1O2X|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 143, juggler 132
Position ID: cG+DATDYnpEDIA Match ID: cAnpACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 6/2(2)

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,362(Money: +0,304)
 0,611 0,179 0,012 - 0,389 0,106 0,004
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,518 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,482
3.Double, take+0,410-0,108
Proper cube action:No double, take (18,4%)

 

Alert: bad move ( -0,087)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 24/22 13/9 11/9 +0,519
  0,604 0,188 0,013 - 0,396 0,115 0,003  
2 3 6/2(2) +0,432 (-0,087)
  0,583 0,177 0,012 - 0,417 0,109 0,003  
  3 2 24/22 11/5 +0,432 (-0,086)
  0,587 0,181 0,013 - 0,413 0,118 0,003  
  4 2 13/9 11/9 6/4 +0,400 (-0,119)
  0,578 0,184 0,013 - 0,422 0,105 0,003  
  5 2 11/5 6/4 +0,342 (-0,177)
  0,566 0,178 0,012 - 0,434 0,108 0,003  

Move number 12: salix to play 56

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|1O ' ' '3X4X|   |2X2X ' ' '3O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       5 6       | 1 |                 |
|2X2O '2O2O2O|   | '2O ' '1O2X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 143, juggler 124
Position ID: ZpuRAyBwb4MBMA Match ID: MAH3ACAAGAAE

• salix moves 24/13

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,301(Money: -0,243)
 0,417 0,109 0,003 - 0,583 0,177 0,012
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,432 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,432
3.Double, take-1,062-0,630
Proper cube action:No double, take (30,6%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 24/13 -0,320
  0,447 0,105 0,003 - 0,553 0,180 0,004  
  2 2 13/8 13/7 -0,619 (-0,299)
  0,354 0,088 0,003 - 0,646 0,159 0,007  
  3 0 7/1* 6/1 -0,649 (-0,328)
  0,352 0,125 0,003 - 0,648 0,193 0,017  
  4 0 13/2 -1,000 (-0,680)
  0,321 0,080 0,003 - 0,679 0,243 0,023  
  5 0 13/7 6/1* -1,000 (-0,680)
  0,317 0,086 0,002 - 0,683 0,254 0,023  

Move number 13: juggler to play 54

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|1O ' ' '3X4X|   |2X2X ' ' '3O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       5 4       |
|1X2O '2O2O2O|   | '2O ' '1O3X|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 132, juggler 124
Position ID: cG+DAyBmm5EDIA Match ID: cInyACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 13/4

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,244(Money: +0,187)
 0,555 0,180 0,004 - 0,445 0,103 0,003
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,313 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,687
3.Double, take+0,070-0,243
Proper cube action:No double, take (26,2%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 13/9 11/6 +0,134
  0,499 0,174 0,004 - 0,501 0,105 0,004  
2 3 13/4 +0,116 (-0,018)
  0,497 0,177 0,004 - 0,503 0,115 0,005  
  3 2 11/6 8/4 +0,024 (-0,110)
  0,474 0,172 0,004 - 0,526 0,113 0,005  
  4 2 11/2 -0,027 (-0,161)
  0,468 0,149 0,004 - 0,532 0,116 0,004  
  5 2 13/8 11/7 -0,111 (-0,245)
  0,447 0,155 0,004 - 0,553 0,127 0,004  

Move number 14: salix to play 54

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|1O ' ' '3X4X|   |2X2X ' ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       5 4       | 1 |                 |
|1X2O '3O2O2O|   | '2O ' '1O3X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 132, juggler 115
Position ID: 5jYjAyBwb4MDIA Match ID: MIHyACAAGAAE

• salix moves 6/1* 5/1

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,111(Money: -0,056)
 0,503 0,115 0,005 - 0,497 0,177 0,004
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,116 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,116
3.Double, take-0,557-0,441
Proper cube action:No double, take (28,3%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 6/1* 5/1 -0,266
  0,441 0,134 0,004 - 0,559 0,167 0,004  
  2 0 13/4 -0,598 (-0,332)
  0,410 0,102 0,005 - 0,590 0,290 0,011  
  3 0 13/8 5/1* -0,713 (-0,447)
  0,379 0,097 0,003 - 0,621 0,256 0,008  
  4 0 13/8 6/2 -0,750 (-0,484)
  0,387 0,095 0,005 - 0,613 0,284 0,008  
  5 0 13/9 13/8 -0,884 (-0,617)
  0,377 0,085 0,005 - 0,623 0,304 0,019  

Move number 15: juggler to play 45

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X ' ' '2X3X|   |2X2X ' ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       4 5       |
|1X2O '3O2O2O|   | '2O ' '1O3X|
|                   | 1O|                   |
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 123, juggler 116
Position ID: w26DAyDmNiMDQA Match ID: cInyACAAGAAE

• juggler moves bar/16

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,204(Money: +0,152)
 0,555 0,164 0,004 - 0,445 0,123 0,003
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,268 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,732
3.Double, take+0,007-0,261
Proper cube action:No double, take (26,3%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 bar/16 +0,611
  0,652 0,128 0,003 - 0,348 0,077 0,002  
  2 3 bar/21 11/6 +0,588 (-0,023)
  0,607 0,188 0,005 - 0,393 0,090 0,002  
  3 0 bar/21 13/8 -0,092 (-0,703)
  0,476 0,156 0,005 - 0,524 0,184 0,009  
  4 0 bar/21 8/3 -0,169 (-0,780)
  0,474 0,185 0,006 - 0,526 0,249 0,016  
  5 0 bar/21 6/1* -0,643 (-1,254)
  0,394 0,144 0,002 - 0,606 0,308 0,023  

Move number 16: salix to play 36

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X ' ' '2X3X|   |2X2X1O ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       3 6       | 1 |                 |
|1X2O '3O2O2O|   | '2O ' '1O3X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 123, juggler 107
Position ID: 5jYjIwDDboMDIA Match ID: MAHvACAAGAAE

• salix moves 24/18 8/5

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,396(Money: -0,356)
 0,348 0,077 0,002 - 0,652 0,128 0,003
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,611 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,611
3.Double, take-1,551-0,940
Proper cube action:No double, take (36,9%)

 

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,398)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 13/4 -1,000
  0,256 0,034 0,000 - 0,744 0,119 0,002  
  2 3 13/7 8/5 -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,250 0,032 0,000 - 0,750 0,116 0,002  
  3 3 8/5 8/2 -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,250 0,037 0,000 - 0,750 0,140 0,002  
  4 3 13/7 6/3 -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,251 0,035 0,000 - 0,749 0,141 0,002  
5 3 24/18 8/5 -1,011 (-0,011)
  0,207 0,037 0,001 - 0,793 0,231 0,003  

Move number 17: juggler on roll, cube decision?

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X ' ' '3X3X|   |2X1X1O ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |                 |
| '2O '3O2O2O|   |1X2O ' '1O3X|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 114, juggler 107
Position ID: w92CgwDmNiMjAA Match ID: cAngACAAGAAE

• juggler doubles

Alert: wrong double (-0,011)!

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,851(Money: +0,782)
 0,793 0,231 0,003 - 0,207 0,037 0,001
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+1,011 
2.Double, take+1,817+0,806
3.Double, pass+1,000-0,011
Proper cube action:Too good to double, pass (1,4%)

 


Move number 18: juggler doubles to 2

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X ' ' '3X3X|   |2X1X1O ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       [2]       |
| '2O '3O2O2O|   |1X2O ' '1O3X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 114, juggler 107
Position ID: w92CgwDmNiMjAA Match ID: cBHgACAAGAAE

• salix accepts

Alert: wrong take (-0,817)! [very bad]

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,851(Money: +0,782)
 0,793 0,231 0,003 - 0,207 0,037 0,001
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+1,011 
2.Double, take+1,817+0,806
3.Double, pass+1,000-0,011
Proper cube action:Too good to double, pass (1,4%)

 


Move number 19: juggler to play 61

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X ' ' '3X3X| 2 |2X1X1O ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       6 1       |
| '2O '3O2O2O|   |1X2O ' '1O3X|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 114, juggler 107
Position ID: w92CgwDmNiMjAA Match ID: QQnnACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 13/7* 8/7

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,064)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 16/10 8/7* +0,831
  0,795 0,272 0,004 - 0,205 0,053 0,002  
2 3 13/7* 8/7 +0,766 (-0,064)
  0,775 0,279 0,006 - 0,225 0,071 0,005  
  3 2 11/5 8/7* +0,743 (-0,088)
  0,757 0,296 0,004 - 0,243 0,067 0,002  
  4 2 13/7*/6 +0,726 (-0,105)
  0,771 0,256 0,005 - 0,229 0,057 0,002  
  5 2 16/15 13/7* +0,678 (-0,153)
  0,757 0,263 0,004 - 0,243 0,085 0,006  

Move number 20: salix to play 43

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X ' ' '3X3X| 2 |2X1X1O ' '1O|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       4 3       |   |                 |
| '2O '3O2O2O|   |2O1O ' '1O3X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 121, juggler 100
Position ID: 5rZFIgDD3YIDQA Match ID: AQHuACAAGAAE

• salix moves bar/22 13/9*

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,887(Money: -0,758)
 0,225 0,071 0,005 - 0,775 0,279 0,006
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,766 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,766
3.Double, take-1,378-0,612
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (25,7%)

 

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +0,669)

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 bar/22 13/9* -0,069
  0,424 0,206 0,015 - 0,576 0,311 0,019  
  2 0 bar/22 8/4 -0,863 (-0,794)
  0,197 0,042 0,001 - 0,803 0,275 0,004  
  3 0 bar/22 7/3 -0,938 (-0,869)
  0,192 0,046 0,001 - 0,808 0,318 0,008  
  4 0 bar/22 6/2 -0,961 (-0,892)
  0,190 0,044 0,001 - 0,810 0,328 0,005  
  5 0 bar/22 5/1 -0,967 (-0,898)
  0,178 0,034 0,001 - 0,822 0,302 0,004  

Move number 21: juggler to play 41

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X ' ' '3X3X| 2 |2X1X1X ' '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       4 1       |
| '2O1X3O2O2O|   |2O1O ' '1O2X|
|                   | 1O|                   |
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 114, juggler 109
Position ID: w90KAwjmtkUCQA Match ID: QQnmACAAGAAE

• juggler moves bar/21 4/3*

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,397)

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 bar/21 4/3* +0,484
  0,679 0,369 0,019 - 0,321 0,176 0,019  
  2 0 bar/21 8/7 -0,736 (-1,220)
  0,404 0,125 0,004 - 0,596 0,239 0,013  
  3 0 bar/21 11/10 -0,963 (-1,447)
  0,376 0,122 0,004 - 0,624 0,308 0,029  
  4 0 bar/21 7/6 -1,133 (-1,617)
  0,306 0,105 0,004 - 0,694 0,425 0,071  
  5 0 bar/21 2/1 -1,173 (-1,657)
  0,296 0,105 0,005 - 0,704 0,444 0,066  

Move number 22: salix to play 21

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X ' '1O3X3X| 2 |2X1X1X ' '1O|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       2 1       |   |                 |
| '2O1O2O2O2O|   |2O1O ' '1O2X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 117, juggler 104
Position ID: 1rZFAgTD3QoDQA Match ID: AQHlACAAGAAE

• salix moves bar/22*

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,608(Money: -0,493)
 0,347 0,199 0,026 - 0,653 0,393 0,019
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,481 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,481
3.Double, take-0,599-0,118
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (7,4%)

 

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +0,713)

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 bar/22* +0,223
  0,480 0,254 0,018 - 0,520 0,255 0,020  
  2 0 bar/24 6/4* -0,524 (-0,747)
  0,325 0,166 0,013 - 0,675 0,399 0,044  
  3 0 bar/24 9/7 -0,993 (-1,216)
  0,190 0,065 0,002 - 0,810 0,365 0,010  
  4 0 bar/24 8/6 -1,042 (-1,265)
  0,178 0,058 0,001 - 0,822 0,370 0,011  
  5 0 bar/24 5/3 -1,257 (-1,480)
  0,175 0,059 0,002 - 0,825 0,508 0,034  

Move number 23: juggler to play 31

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X ' '1O3X3X| 2 |2X1X1X ' '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       3 1       |
| '2O1X2O2O2O|   |2O1O ' '1O2X|
|                   | 1O|                   |
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 114, juggler 126
Position ID: w90KAwhm2yIBQg Match ID: QYnlACAAGAAE

• juggler moves bar/21

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 bar/21 -0,493
  0,441 0,109 0,003 - 0,559 0,158 0,006  
  2 0 bar/22 4/3* -0,949 (-0,456)
  0,410 0,191 0,015 - 0,590 0,447 0,121  
  3 0 bar/22 8/7 -1,000 (-0,507)
  0,344 0,110 0,005 - 0,656 0,354 0,028  
  4 0 bar/22 11/10 -1,067 (-0,574)
  0,329 0,106 0,005 - 0,671 0,419 0,055  
  5 0 bar/22 7/6 -1,348 (-0,855)
  0,276 0,092 0,005 - 0,724 0,519 0,123  

Move number 24: salix to play 16

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X ' '2O3X3X| 2 |2X1X1X ' '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       1 6       |   |                 |
| '2O1X2O2O2O|   |2O1O ' '1O2X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 114, juggler 122
Position ID: ZtsiAQbD3QoDCA Match ID: AQHnACAAGAAE

• salix moves 22/16 13/12*

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,009(Money: +0,000)
 0,504 0,159 0,006 - 0,496 0,165 0,007
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,235 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,765
3.Double, take+0,165-0,070
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (8,4%)

 

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,039)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 22/16 9/8 +0,007
  0,437 0,055 0,001 - 0,563 0,155 0,003  
2 3 22/16 13/12* -0,032 (-0,039)
  0,480 0,121 0,005 - 0,520 0,292 0,062  
  3 3 13/12* 13/7 -0,043 (-0,050)
  0,432 0,181 0,008 - 0,568 0,267 0,035  
  4 3 13/12*/6 -0,072 (-0,078)
  0,422 0,159 0,007 - 0,578 0,249 0,028  
  5 0 9/3 8/7 -0,319 (-0,326)
  0,344 0,080 0,002 - 0,656 0,210 0,005  

Move number 25: juggler to play 42

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X ' '2O3X3X| 2 |2X1X1X ' '1X|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       4 2       |
| '2O '2O2O2O|   |2O1O1X '1O1X|
|                   | 1O|                   |
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 107, juggler 134
Position ID: w92KIgBm2yIAQw Match ID: QQnqACAAGAAE

• juggler moves bar/21 11/9*

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +0,903)

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 bar/21 11/9* +0,954
  0,740 0,456 0,089 - 0,260 0,066 0,002  
  2 3 bar/23 21/17* +0,939 (-0,015)
  0,732 0,511 0,120 - 0,268 0,132 0,017  
  3 0 bar/23 11/7 -1,000 (-1,954)
  0,305 0,050 0,002 - 0,695 0,097 0,001  
  4 0 bar/21 8/6 -1,000 (-1,954)
  0,281 0,041 0,001 - 0,719 0,082 0,001  
  5 0 bar/21 7/5 -1,000 (-1,954)
  0,279 0,038 0,001 - 0,721 0,089 0,002  

Move number 26: salix to play 51

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X ' '3O3X3X| 2 |2X1X1X ' '1X|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       5 1       |   |                 |
| '2O '2O2O2O|   |2O1O1O ' '1X|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 116, juggler 128
Position ID: ZtsKAAfD3YoCQA Match ID: AYHmACAAGAAE

• salix moves bar/24 13/8

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-1,119(Money: -0,958)
 0,260 0,066 0,002 - 0,740 0,456 0,089
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,954 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,954
3.Double, take-1,209-0,255
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (11,5%)

 

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,500)

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 bar/24 13/8 -0,499
  0,300 0,072 0,002 - 0,700 0,246 0,015  
  2 0 bar/24 8/3 -0,939 (-0,440)
  0,226 0,065 0,002 - 0,774 0,400 0,051  
  3 0 bar/24 12/7 -0,997 (-0,498)
  0,207 0,056 0,001 - 0,793 0,395 0,043  
  4 0 bar/24 6/1 -1,223 (-0,724)
  0,180 0,048 0,001 - 0,820 0,487 0,086  
  5 0 bar/24 7/2 -1,547 (-1,048)
  0,144 0,045 0,001 - 0,856 0,629 0,210  

Move number 27: juggler to play 24

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X ' '3O3X3X| 2 |2X2X1X ' '1X|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       2 4       |
|1X2O '2O2O2O|   |2O1O1O ' ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 110, juggler 128
Position ID: w90WASBm2woABw Match ID: QQnqACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 9/5 8/6

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,496)

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 9/5 8/6 -0,043
  0,573 0,098 0,003 - 0,427 0,072 0,002  
  2 3 9/7 8/4 -0,095 (-0,052)
  0,558 0,092 0,003 - 0,442 0,078 0,002  
  3 2 7/1* -0,177 (-0,134)
  0,500 0,232 0,012 - 0,500 0,187 0,006  
  4 2 8/2 -0,184 (-0,142)
  0,529 0,087 0,002 - 0,471 0,081 0,001  
  5 2 9/3 -0,217 (-0,174)
  0,531 0,093 0,003 - 0,469 0,135 0,003  

Move number 28: salix to play 43

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X ' '3O3X3X| 2 |2X2X1X ' '1X|
|                   |   |                   |
|       4 3       |   |                 |
|1X2O '2O3O3O|   |2O ' ' ' ' '|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 110, juggler 122
Position ID: ZncDAAfD3RYBIA Match ID: AQHuACAAGAAE

• salix moves 12/9 6/2

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,191(Money: -0,172)
 0,427 0,072 0,002 - 0,573 0,098 0,003
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,043 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,957
3.Double, take-0,335-0,378
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (28,3%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 12/9 6/2 +0,225
  0,479 0,090 0,002 - 0,521 0,086 0,002  
  2 3 12/9 5/1 +0,181 (-0,044)
  0,468 0,083 0,002 - 0,532 0,092 0,002  
  3 0 12/8 9/6 -0,085 (-0,310)
  0,377 0,066 0,002 - 0,623 0,091 0,002  
  4 0 9/2 -0,270 (-0,495)
  0,355 0,076 0,002 - 0,645 0,195 0,008  
  5 0 9/5 6/3 -0,326 (-0,551)
  0,344 0,073 0,002 - 0,656 0,210 0,010  

Move number 29: juggler to play 32

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X1X '3O3X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       3 2       |
|1X2O '2O3O3O|   |2O ' ' ' ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 103, juggler 122
Position ID: i9s2ACBmdwMABw Match ID: QYnpACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 6/3 5/3

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +0,687)

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 6/3 5/3 +0,480
  0,741 0,127 0,002 - 0,259 0,039 0,000  
  2 0 6/4 5/2 -0,339 (-0,819)
  0,479 0,075 0,002 - 0,521 0,079 0,001  
  3 0 6/1* -0,542 (-1,021)
  0,419 0,084 0,002 - 0,581 0,125 0,003  
  4 0 7/5 7/4 -0,725 (-1,204)
  0,368 0,050 0,001 - 0,632 0,071 0,001  
  5 0 7/4 5/3 -0,935 (-1,414)
  0,349 0,068 0,002 - 0,651 0,167 0,004  

Move number 30: salix to play 21

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X1X '3O3X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       2 1       |   |                 |
|1X2O2O2O2O2O|   |2O ' ' ' ' '|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 103, juggler 117
Position ID: tm0DAAeL2zYAIA Match ID: AQHlACAAGAAE

• salix moves 5/2

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity-0,526(Money: -0,484)
 0,291 0,051 0,001 - 0,709 0,115 0,002
Cubeful equities:
1.No double-0,375 
2.Double, pass+1,000+1,375
3.Double, take-1,065-0,690
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (33,4%)

 

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,421)

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 5/2 +0,040
  0,430 0,070 0,001 - 0,570 0,092 0,002  
  2 2 5/3 2/1 -0,055 (-0,095)
  0,404 0,059 0,001 - 0,596 0,111 0,002  
  3 0 7/6 7/5 -0,460 (-0,500)
  0,271 0,045 0,001 - 0,729 0,140 0,003  
  4 0 8/7 8/6 -0,474 (-0,514)
  0,264 0,042 0,001 - 0,736 0,134 0,002  
  5 0 9/8 9/7 -0,548 (-0,588)
  0,240 0,038 0,001 - 0,760 0,140 0,003  

Move number 31: juggler to play 51

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X2X '3O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       5 1       |
|1X2O2O2O2O2O|   |2O ' ' ' ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 100, juggler 117
Position ID: G9s2ACC2bQMABw Match ID: QYnmACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 7/1*

Alert: very bad move ( -0,238)

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,394)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 7/6 7/2 -0,367
  0,459 0,064 0,001 - 0,541 0,077 0,001  
2 3 7/1* -0,606 (-0,238)
  0,412 0,090 0,002 - 0,588 0,167 0,004  
  3 0 6/5 6/1* -1,000 (-0,633)
  0,304 0,044 0,001 - 0,696 0,135 0,002  
  4 0 6/1* 2/1 -1,000 (-0,633)
  0,275 0,044 0,001 - 0,725 0,225 0,007  
  5 0 7/2 6/5 -1,011 (-0,643)
  0,240 0,030 0,001 - 0,760 0,197 0,006  

Move number 32: salix to play 54

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X2X '3O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       5 4       |   |                 |
|1O2O2O2O2O2O|   |1O ' ' ' ' '|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 101, juggler 111
Position ID: bdsCAAcb2zYAQA Match ID: AYHyACAAGAAE

• salix cannot move

Alert: missed double (-0,007)!

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,289(Money: +0,253)
 0,588 0,167 0,004 - 0,412 0,090 0,002
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take+0,606 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,394
3.No double+0,599-0,007
Proper cube action:Redouble, take

 

# Ply Move Equity
   Cannot move 

Move number 33: juggler to play 42

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X2X '3O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|                 |   |       4 2       |
|1O2O2O2O2O2O|   |1O ' ' ' ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 101, juggler 111
Position ID: G9s2AEBt2wIABw Match ID: QQnqACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 7/1

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 7/1 -0,164
  0,533 0,084 0,001 - 0,467 0,064 0,001  
  2 0 5/3 5/1 -1,000 (-0,836)
  0,295 0,027 0,000 - 0,705 0,115 0,002  
  3 0 6/4 6/2 -1,000 (-0,836)
  0,255 0,030 0,000 - 0,745 0,167 0,004  
  4 0 7/5 6/2 -1,020 (-0,855)
  0,248 0,036 0,000 - 0,752 0,220 0,006  
  5 0 7/3 6/4 -1,035 (-0,871)
  0,241 0,033 0,000 - 0,759 0,223 0,007  

Move number 34: salix to play 61

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X2X '3O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       6 1       |   |                 |
|2O2O2O2O2O2O|   | ' ' ' ' ' '|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 101, juggler 105
Position ID: 27YBAAcb2zYAQA Match ID: AQHnACAAGAAE

• salix cannot move

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,173(Money: +0,171)
 0,579 0,081 0,002 - 0,421 0,069 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,536 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,464
3.Double, take+0,459-0,076
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (14,1%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
   Cannot move 

Move number 35: juggler to play 14

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X2X '3O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|                 |   |       1 4       |
|2O2O2O2O2O2O|   | ' ' ' ' ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 101, juggler 105
Position ID: G9s2AEDbtgEABw Match ID: QQnmACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 6/5 6/2

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,477)

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 6/5 6/2 -1,000
  0,299 0,027 0,000 - 0,701 0,093 0,002  
  2 3 5/4 5/1 -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,281 0,021 0,000 - 0,719 0,098 0,002  
  3 3 6/1 -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,246 0,024 0,000 - 0,754 0,150 0,002  
  4 2 6/2 5/4 -1,167 (-0,167)
  0,179 0,016 0,000 - 0,821 0,232 0,004  
  5 2 6/2 4/3 -1,180 (-0,180)
  0,172 0,015 0,000 - 0,828 0,242 0,005  

Move number 36: salix to play 12

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X2X '3O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       1 2       |   |                 |
|2O3O2O2O3O '|   | ' ' ' ' ' '|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 101, juggler 100
Position ID: u+0AAAcb2zYAQA Match ID: AQHlACAAGAAE

• salix cannot move

Alert: missed double (-0,153)! [very bad]

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,503(Money: +0,469)
 0,701 0,093 0,002 - 0,299 0,027 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass+1,000 
2.Double, take+1,103+0,103
3.No double+0,847-0,153
Proper cube action:Redouble, pass

 

# Ply Move Equity
   Cannot move 

Move number 37: juggler to play 63

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X2X '3O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|                 |   |       6 3       |
|2O3O2O2O3O '|   | ' ' ' ' ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 101, juggler 100
Position ID: G9s2AEC77QAABw Match ID: QQnvACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 21/12

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,418)

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 21/12 -0,437
  0,450 0,059 0,000 - 0,550 0,076 0,001  
  2 3 21/15 5/2 -0,492 (-0,055)
  0,437 0,051 0,000 - 0,563 0,078 0,001  
  3 0 21/15 4/1 -1,000 (-0,563)
  0,288 0,033 0,000 - 0,712 0,174 0,006  

Move number 38: salix to play 43

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X2X '2O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       4 3       |   |                 |
|2O3O2O2O3O '|   | ' ' ' ' '1O|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 101, juggler 91
Position ID: u+2AAAYb2zYAQA Match ID: AQHuACAAGAAE

• salix cannot move

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,122(Money: +0,118)
 0,550 0,076 0,001 - 0,450 0,059 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,437 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,563
3.Double, take+0,305-0,132
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (19,0%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
   Cannot move 

Move number 39: juggler to play 22

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X2X '2O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|                 |   |       2 2       |
|2O3O2O2O3O '|   | ' ' ' ' '1O|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 101, juggler 91
Position ID: G9s2AEC77YAABg Match ID: QQnpACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 12/4

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 12/4 -0,531
  0,433 0,049 0,000 - 0,567 0,079 0,001  
  2 3 12/8 5/1 -0,594 (-0,063)
  0,407 0,045 0,000 - 0,593 0,092 0,001  
  3 2 12/6 5/3 -0,858 (-0,327)
  0,349 0,037 0,000 - 0,651 0,104 0,002  
  4 0 5/1 5/3(2) -0,996 (-0,465)
  0,327 0,024 0,000 - 0,673 0,121 0,003  
  5 0 12/8 4/2(2) -1,000 (-0,469)
  0,324 0,027 0,000 - 0,676 0,115 0,003  

Move number 40: salix to play 26

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X2X '2O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       2 6       |   |                 |
|2O3O2O3O3O '|   | ' ' ' ' ' '|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 101, juggler 83
Position ID: u90BAAYb2zYAQA Match ID: AQHrACAAGAAE

• salix moves bar/17

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,176(Money: +0,164)
 0,567 0,079 0,001 - 0,433 0,049 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,531 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,469
3.Double, take+0,397-0,134
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (22,2%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 bar/17 +0,808
  0,675 0,087 0,000 - 0,325 0,025 0,000  
  2 0 bar/19 7/5 +0,373 (-0,435)
  0,540 0,096 0,001 - 0,460 0,108 0,000  
  3 0 bar/19 8/6 +0,362 (-0,447)
  0,534 0,102 0,000 - 0,466 0,110 0,000  
  4 0 bar/19 9/7 +0,247 (-0,562)
  0,503 0,087 0,000 - 0,497 0,121 0,000  
  5 0 bar/19 5/3 +0,218 (-0,591)
  0,505 0,083 0,001 - 0,495 0,148 0,001  

Move number 41: juggler to play 15

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X2X '2O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       1 5       |
|2O3O2O3O3O '|   | '1X ' ' ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 93, juggler 83
Position ID: G9s2QAC73QEABg Match ID: QYnmACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 2/1

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 2/1 -0,932
  0,324 0,020 0,000 - 0,676 0,055 0,001  
  2 3 4/3 -0,946 (-0,015)
  0,323 0,020 0,000 - 0,677 0,062 0,001  
  3 3 5/4 -0,962 (-0,030)
  0,320 0,019 0,000 - 0,680 0,062 0,001  
  4 3 3/2 -1,000 (-0,068)
  0,306 0,020 0,000 - 0,694 0,091 0,001  

Move number 42: salix to play 13

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X2X '2O2X2X| 2 |2X2X2X ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       1 3       |   |                 |
|3O2O2O3O3O '|   | '1X ' ' ' '|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 93, juggler 82
Position ID: t90BAAYb2zZAAA Match ID: AYHlACAAGAAE

• salix moves 9/8 9/6

Alert: missed double (-0,045)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,405(Money: +0,388)
 0,676 0,055 0,001 - 0,324 0,020 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take+0,932 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,068
3.No double+0,886-0,045
Proper cube action:Redouble, take

 

Alert: bad move ( -0,121)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 17/13 +0,860
  0,661 0,054 0,001 - 0,339 0,025 0,000  
  2 3 8/7 8/5 +0,809 (-0,051)
  0,636 0,070 0,001 - 0,364 0,021 0,000  
3 3 9/8 9/6 +0,739 (-0,121)
  0,612 0,084 0,002 - 0,388 0,033 0,000  
  4 2 17/14 2/1 +0,596 (-0,265)
  0,596 0,037 0,000 - 0,404 0,025 0,000  
  5 2 6/5 6/3 +0,558 (-0,302)
  0,591 0,061 0,001 - 0,409 0,043 0,001  

Move number 43: juggler to play 21

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X2X '2O2X3X| 2 |2X3X ' ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       2 1       |
|3O2O2O3O3O '|   | '1X ' ' ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 89, juggler 82
Position ID: G7sdQAC33QEABg Match ID: QQnlACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 5/2

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 5/2 -0,843
  0,344 0,019 0,000 - 0,656 0,068 0,001  
  2 3 5/3 4/3 -0,868 (-0,025)
  0,340 0,018 0,000 - 0,660 0,070 0,001  
  3 3 4/1 -0,877 (-0,033)
  0,338 0,018 0,000 - 0,662 0,070 0,001  
  4 2 5/3 2/1 -1,000 (-0,157)
  0,313 0,013 0,000 - 0,687 0,083 0,002  
  5 2 4/3 4/2 -1,000 (-0,157)
  0,310 0,013 0,000 - 0,690 0,088 0,002  

Move number 44: salix to play 15

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X2X '2O2X3X| 2 |2X3X ' ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       1 5       |   |                 |
|3O3O2O3O2O '|   | '1X ' ' ' '|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 89, juggler 79
Position ID: d7sBAAYbux1AAA Match ID: AYHmACAAGAAE

• salix moves 8/3 6/5

Alert: missed double (-0,024)!

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,387(Money: +0,362)
 0,656 0,068 0,001 - 0,344 0,019 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take+0,843 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,157
3.No double+0,819-0,024
Proper cube action:Redouble, take

 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 17/16 8/3 +0,861
  0,661 0,098 0,001 - 0,339 0,024 0,000  
2 3 8/3 6/5 +0,852 (-0,008)
  0,646 0,091 0,001 - 0,354 0,027 0,000  
  3 2 8/2 +0,735 (-0,126)
  0,618 0,063 0,001 - 0,382 0,025 0,000  
  4 2 17/12 6/5 +0,695 (-0,166)
  0,608 0,050 0,001 - 0,392 0,021 0,000  
  5 2 17/11 +0,658 (-0,202)
  0,599 0,044 0,001 - 0,401 0,024 0,000  

Move number 45: juggler to play 22

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X2X1X2O3X2X| 2 |2X2X ' ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       2 2       |
|3O3O2O3O2O '|   | '1X ' ' ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 83, juggler 79
Position ID: W24bQAB3uwEABg Match ID: QQnpACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 5/1(2)

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 5/1(2) -1,000
  0,295 0,010 0,000 - 0,705 0,085 0,001  
  2 3 5/1 5/3 4/2 -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,291 0,010 0,000 - 0,709 0,088 0,001  
  3 3 5/3 4/2(3) -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,267 0,008 0,000 - 0,733 0,121 0,002  
  4 3 5/3(2) 4/2(2) -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,264 0,008 0,000 - 0,736 0,119 0,002  
  5 2 5/1 3/1(2) -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,263 0,005 0,000 - 0,737 0,112 0,001  

Move number 46: salix to play 56

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X2X1X2O3X2X| 2 |2X2X ' ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       5 6       |   |                 |
|5O3O2O3O ' '|   | '1X ' ' ' '|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 83, juggler 71
Position ID: 3+0AAAZbbhtAAA Match ID: AQH3ACAAGAAE

• salix moves 8/3 8/2

Alert: missed double (-0,146)! [very bad]

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,526(Money: +0,486)
 0,705 0,085 0,001 - 0,295 0,010 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass+1,000 
2.Double, take+1,116+0,116
3.No double+0,854-0,146
Proper cube action:Redouble, pass

 

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,062)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 17/6 +0,881
  0,738 0,043 0,000 - 0,262 0,005 0,000  
2 3 8/3 8/2 +0,819 (-0,062)
  0,697 0,086 0,001 - 0,303 0,008 0,000  
  3 3 7/2 7/1 +0,808 (-0,074)
  0,646 0,057 0,001 - 0,354 0,014 0,000  
  4 2 17/11 8/3 +0,537 (-0,344)
  0,618 0,066 0,001 - 0,382 0,031 0,000  
  5 0 17/12 7/1 +0,505 (-0,376)
  0,576 0,056 0,000 - 0,424 0,033 0,000  

Move number 47: juggler to play 56

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X3X2X2O3X2X| 2 |2X ' ' ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       5 6       |
|5O3O2O3O ' '|   | '1X ' ' ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 72, juggler 71
Position ID: u7kNQADf7QAABg Match ID: QQn3ACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 21/16 21/15

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 21/16 21/15 -0,639
  0,381 0,004 0,000 - 0,619 0,049 0,000  
  2 0 21/10 -1,000 (-0,361)
  0,230 0,007 0,000 - 0,770 0,093 0,001  

Move number 48: salix to play 33

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X3X2X '3X2X| 2 |2X '1O1O ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       3 3       |   |                 |
|5O3O2O3O ' '|   | '1X ' ' ' '|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 72, juggler 60
Position ID: 3+0AKAC7uQ1AAA Match ID: AYHtACAAGAAE

• salix moves 17/11 7/4(2)

Alert: missed double (-0,058)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,263(Money: +0,245)
 0,605 0,035 0,000 - 0,395 0,002 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take+0,542 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,458
3.No double+0,485-0,058
Proper cube action:Redouble, take

 

Alert: very bad move ( -0,486)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 17/8 7/4 +0,623
  0,611 0,000 0,000 - 0,389 0,000 0,000  
2 3 17/11 7/4(2) +0,137 (-0,486)
  0,439 0,012 0,000 - 0,561 0,002 0,000  
  3 2 17/5 +0,463 (-0,161)
  0,565 0,000 0,000 - 0,435 0,000 0,000  
  4 2 17/8 6/3 +0,416 (-0,208)
  0,550 0,000 0,000 - 0,450 0,000 0,000  
  5 2 17/8 5/2 +0,376 (-0,247)
  0,538 0,000 0,000 - 0,462 0,000 0,000  

Move number 49: juggler to play 64

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X3X2X2X3X2X| 2 | ' '1O1O1X '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       6 4       |
|5O3O2O3O ' '|   | ' ' ' ' ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 60, juggler 60
Position ID: u+0GAQDf7QAoAA Match ID: QQnzACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 16/12 15/9

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,344)

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 16/12 15/9 -0,488
  0,414 0,000 0,000 - 0,586 0,000 0,000  
  2 3 16/10 15/11 -0,488 (-0,000)
  0,413 0,000 0,000 - 0,587 0,000 0,000  
  3 0 16/6 -1,000 (-0,512)
  0,264 0,000 0,000 - 0,736 0,008 0,000  
  4 0 15/5 -1,000 (-0,512)
  0,249 0,000 0,000 - 0,751 0,008 0,000  

Move number 50: salix to play 33

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X3X2X2X3X2X| 2 | ' ' ' '1X '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       3 3       |   |                 |
|5O3O2O3O ' '|   | ' '1O ' '1O|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 60, juggler 50
Position ID: 3+0gAgC77QYBAA Match ID: AYHtACAAGAAE

• salix moves 11/5 3/off(2)

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,171(Money: +0,171)
 0,586 0,000 0,000 - 0,414 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.No double+0,488 
2.Double, pass+1,000+0,512
3.Double, take+0,400-0,088
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (14,6%)

 

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,315)

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 11/5 3/off(2) +0,860
  0,704 0,000 0,000 - 0,296 0,000 0,000  
  2 3 11/5 6/off +0,838 (-0,022)
  0,692 0,000 0,000 - 0,308 0,000 0,000  
  3 3 11/2 3/off +0,809 (-0,051)
  0,678 0,000 0,000 - 0,322 0,000 0,000  
  4 2 11/2 6/3 +0,681 (-0,179)
  0,638 0,000 0,000 - 0,362 0,000 0,000  
  5 2 11/5 4/1 3/off +0,678 (-0,181)
  0,638 0,000 0,000 - 0,362 0,000 0,000  

Move number 51: juggler to play 32

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X3X '2X4X2X| 2 | ' ' ' ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |       3 2       |
|5O3O2O3O ' '|   | ' '1O ' '1O|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 48, juggler 50
Position ID: O3sDAMB3O4gAAA Match ID: QYnpACAAGAAE

• juggler moves 12/10 9/6

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 12/10 9/6 -1,000
  0,208 0,000 0,000 - 0,792 0,000 0,000  
  2 3 9/4 -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,171 0,000 0,000 - 0,829 0,000 0,000  
  3 3 9/6 4/2 -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,161 0,000 0,000 - 0,839 0,000 0,000  
  4 3 12/7 -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,154 0,000 0,000 - 0,846 0,000 0,000  
  5 2 9/6 3/1 -1,000 (+0,000)
  0,148 0,000 0,000 - 0,852 0,000 0,000  

Move number 52: salix on roll, cube decision?

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+
|2X3X '2X4X2X| 2 | ' ' ' ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 |   |                 |
|5O3O2O3O '1O|   | ' ' '1O ' '|
+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: salix 48, juggler 45
Position ID: 3+2EAAA7ewMAAA Match ID: AQHgACAAGAAE

• salix doubles

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,584(Money: +0,584)
 0,792 0,000 0,000 - 0,208 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass+1,000 
2.Double, take+1,466+0,466
3.No double+0,934-0,066
Proper cube action:Redouble, pass

 


Move number 53: salix doubles to 4

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+
|2X3X '2X4X2X| 2 | ' ' ' ' ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       [4]       |   |                 |
|5O3O2O3O '1O|   | ' ' '1O ' '|
+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: salix 48, juggler 45
Position ID: 3+2EAAA7ewMAAA Match ID: ARngACAAGAAE

• juggler rejects

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity+0,584(Money: +0,584)
 0,792 0,000 0,000 - 0,208 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass+1,000 
2.Double, take+1,466+0,466
3.No double+0,934-0,066
Proper cube action:Redouble, pass

 

salix wins 2 points

Game statistics for game 4
Playersalixjuggler
Checker play statistics
Total moves 24 25
Unforced moves 20 25
Unmarked moves 18 21
Moves marked doubtful 2 2
Moves marked bad 3 1
Moves marked very bad 1 1
Error total EMG (MWC) -0,926 (-12,841%) -0,468 ( -5,994%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC) -46,3 ( -0,642%) -18,7 ( -0,240%)
Chequerplay rating Awful! Casual player
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky 2 2
Rolls marked lucky 3 2
Rolls unmarked 18 17
Rolls marked unlucky 1 4
Rolls marked very unlucky 0 0
Luck total EMG (MWC) +1,896 (+36,397%) +0,432 ( +7,015%)
Luck rate mEMG (MWC) +79,0 ( +1,517%) +17,3 ( +0,281%)
Luck rating Go to Las Vegas None
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions 26 9
Close or actual cube decisions 14 4
Doubles 1 1
Takes 1 0
Passes 0 1
Missed doubles below CP (EMG (MWC)) 4 (-0,134 ( -2,118%)) 0
Missed doubles above CP (EMG (MWC)) 2 (-0,299 ( -4,704%)) 0
Wrong doubles below DP (EMG (MWC)) 0 0
Wrong doubles above TG (EMG (MWC)) 0 1 (-0,011 ( -0,082%))
Wrong takes (EMG (MWC)) 1 (-0,817 ( -6,041%)) 0
Wrong passes (EMG (MWC)) 0 0
Error total EMG (MWC) -1,250 (-12,863%) -0,011 ( -0,082%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC) -89,3 ( -0,919%) -2,8 ( -0,021%)
Cube decision rating Awful! World class
Overall statistics
Error total EMG (MWC) -2,176 (-25,705%) -0,479 ( -6,076%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC) -64,0 ( -0,756%) -16,5 ( -0,210%)
Snowie error rate -44,4 ( +0,000%) -9,8 ( +0,000%)
Overall rating Awful! Intermediate
Actual result +14,88% -14,88%
Luck adjusted result -14,50% +14,50%
Luck based FIBS rating diff. -196,04
Error based abs. FIBS rating 1403,3 1814,7
Chequerplay errors rating loss 576,3 233,1
Cube errors rating loss 70,4 2,2

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