The score (after 3 games) is: kitwoolsey 1, juggler 2 (match to 7 points) Match Information: Date: Juni 27, 2008 Event: Davide's Spring Tournament 2008 Round: Consolation 3 Place: FIBS Annotator: juggler Comments: I was to play Kit Woolsey in round 3 of the consolation of Davide's Spring Tournament 2008. While I was looking forward to playing Kit I was also swearing under my breath why it had to be before the final ;-). Turned out that my dice outperformed his play. Move number 1: O to play 15 GNU Backgammon Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID : MID0ABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | X O | | O X | 1 point | X O | | O X | Rolled 15 | O | | O X | | O | | X | | O | | X | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | X | | O | | X | | O | | X | | X O | | O X | | X O | | O X | | X O | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 167, X 167 * kitwoolsey moves 13/8 6/5 Rolled 15 (+0,027): 1. Cubeful 2-ply 24/23 13/8 Eq.: +0,101 0,508 0,138 0,005 - 0,492 0,129 0,004 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * 2. Cubeful 2-ply 13/8 6/5 Eq.: +0,080 ( -0,021) 0,504 0,140 0,005 - 0,496 0,136 0,006 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 24/18 Eq.: +0,056 ( -0,046) 0,503 0,121 0,005 - 0,497 0,136 0,004 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 13/7 Eq.: +0,013 ( -0,089) 0,485 0,136 0,005 - 0,515 0,142 0,006 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 24/23 8/3 Eq.: -0,092 ( -0,193) 0,462 0,127 0,005 - 0,538 0,161 0,007 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 2: X to play 66 GNU Backgammon Position ID: 0PPgATDgc/ABMA Match ID : cAn7ABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | X O O | | O X | 1 point | X O | | O X | | O | | O X | | O | | O X | | | | X | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | X | | | | X | | O | | X | | X O | | O X | | X O | Rolled 66 | O X | | X O | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 161, X 167 * juggler moves 24/18(2) 13/7(2) Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,025 (Money: -0,010) 0,496 0,136 0,006 - 0,504 0,140 0,005 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -0,080 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +1,080) 3. Double, take -0,533 ( -0,453) Proper cube action: No double, take (29,5%) Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,397) Rolled 66 (+0,397): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 24/18(2) 13/7(2) Eq.: +0,401 0,625 0,142 0,005 - 0,375 0,077 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 24/18 13/7(3) Eq.: +0,072 ( -0,329) 0,539 0,150 0,007 - 0,461 0,134 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 0-ply 24/18(2) 8/2(2) Eq.: -0,017 ( -0,418) 0,513 0,125 0,005 - 0,487 0,122 0,003 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 4. Cubeful 0-ply 13/7(4) Eq.: -0,059 ( -0,460) 0,495 0,158 0,008 - 0,505 0,138 0,005 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 5. Cubeful 0-ply 24/18 13/7(2) 8/2 Eq.: -0,090 ( -0,492) 0,497 0,146 0,009 - 0,503 0,158 0,005 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 3: O to play 53 GNU Backgammon Position ID: 4NvBwQDQ8+ABMA Match ID : MIHuABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O | | X O X | 1 point | O | | X O X | Rolled 53 | O | | O X | | O | | O | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | X | | | | X | | O | | X | | X O | | O X | | X X O | | O X | | X X O | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 161, X 143 * kitwoolsey moves 13/5 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,308 (Money: -0,320) 0,375 0,077 0,001 - 0,625 0,142 0,005 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -0,401 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +1,401) 3. Double, take -0,934 ( -0,533) Proper cube action: No double, take (27,5%) Rolled 53 (-0,004): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 13/5 Eq.: -0,356 0,389 0,085 0,001 - 0,611 0,141 0,004 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 8/5 8/3 Eq.: -0,369 ( -0,013) 0,384 0,092 0,001 - 0,616 0,147 0,006 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 8/3 6/3 Eq.: -0,390 ( -0,034) 0,380 0,086 0,001 - 0,620 0,146 0,005 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 24/21 13/8 Eq.: -0,403 ( -0,047) 0,385 0,076 0,001 - 0,615 0,160 0,005 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 24/21 8/3 Eq.: -0,434 ( -0,078) 0,380 0,081 0,002 - 0,620 0,175 0,007 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 4: X to play 21 GNU Backgammon Position ID: sOfBATDg28HBAA Match ID : cAnlABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O | | X O X | 1 point | O O | | X O X | | O | | O X | | O | | O | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | X | | | | X | | | | X | | X O | | O X | | X X O | Rolled 21 | O X | | X X O | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 153, X 143 * juggler moves 7/5 6/5 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +0,269 (Money: +0,281) 0,611 0,141 0,004 - 0,389 0,085 0,001 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +0,356 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +0,644) 3. Double, take +0,180 ( -0,176) Proper cube action: No double, take (21,5%) Alert: doubtful move ( -0,060) Rolled 21 (-0,092): 1. Cubeful 2-ply 13/11 8/7 Eq.: +0,335 0,606 0,146 0,004 - 0,394 0,084 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 13/10 Eq.: +0,311 ( -0,024) 0,600 0,142 0,004 - 0,400 0,087 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * 3. Cubeful 2-ply 7/5 6/5 Eq.: +0,275 ( -0,060) 0,588 0,156 0,005 - 0,412 0,100 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 13/11 6/5 Eq.: +0,229 ( -0,106) 0,582 0,144 0,004 - 0,418 0,116 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 6/3 Eq.: +0,178 ( -0,157) 0,568 0,130 0,003 - 0,432 0,105 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Annotation: Sometimes exchanging the bar pt for the 5pt is good -- here slotting is better, gnubg says. Move number 5: O to play 26 GNU Backgammon Position ID: sNfBwQCw58EBMA Match ID : MAH5ABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O | | X O X | 1 point | O O | | X O X | Rolled 26 | O | | O X | | O | | O | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | X O | | O X X | | X O | | O X X | | X X O | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 153, X 140 * kitwoolsey moves 24/18*/16 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,220 (Money: -0,234) 0,412 0,100 0,002 - 0,588 0,156 0,005 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -0,275 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +1,275) 3. Double, take -0,724 ( -0,449) Proper cube action: No double, take (26,0%) Rolled 26 (+0,293): 1. Cubeful 2-ply 24/22 24/18* Eq.: +0,114 0,517 0,125 0,004 - 0,483 0,123 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 24/18* 8/6 Eq.: +0,099 ( -0,015) 0,510 0,131 0,004 - 0,490 0,125 0,004 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * 3. Cubeful 2-ply 24/18*/16 Eq.: +0,095 ( -0,019) 0,511 0,125 0,003 - 0,489 0,123 0,004 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 24/18* 13/11 Eq.: +0,029 ( -0,084) 0,491 0,140 0,005 - 0,509 0,145 0,006 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 24/18* 6/4 Eq.: -0,082 ( -0,195) 0,469 0,125 0,004 - 0,531 0,161 0,007 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 6: X to play 56 GNU Backgammon Position ID: sOfBESCw5+BgQA Match ID : cIn6ABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O | | X O X | 1 point | O O | | X O X | | O | | O X | | O | | O | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | X O | | X X | | X O | Rolled 56 | O X X | X | X O O | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 145, X 158 * juggler cannot move Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,038 (Money: -0,024) 0,489 0,123 0,004 - 0,511 0,125 0,003 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -0,095 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +1,095) 3. Double, take -0,563 ( -0,469) Proper cube action: No double, take (30,0%) Rolled 56 (-0,231): * Cannot move Move number 7: O to play 24 GNU Backgammon Position ID: sOfgYECw58ERIA Match ID : MAHxABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O | | X O X | 1 point | O O | | X O X | Rolled 24 | O | | O X | | O | | O | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | X O | | X X | | X O | | O X X | X | X O O | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 145, X 158 * kitwoolsey moves 8/4 6/4 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +0,171 (Money: +0,157) 0,554 0,144 0,003 - 0,446 0,096 0,002 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +0,285 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +0,715) 3. Double, take +0,135 ( -0,150) Proper cube action: No double, take (17,4%) Rolled 24 (+0,081): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 8/4 6/4 Eq.: +0,425 0,581 0,175 0,004 - 0,419 0,091 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 16/10 Eq.: +0,211 ( -0,214) 0,536 0,144 0,004 - 0,464 0,110 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 24/18 Eq.: +0,168 ( -0,257) 0,539 0,114 0,003 - 0,461 0,121 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 0-ply 24/22 13/9 Eq.: +0,089 ( -0,336) 0,508 0,137 0,004 - 0,492 0,137 0,005 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 5. Cubeful 0-ply 16/14 13/9 Eq.: +0,086 ( -0,339) 0,503 0,141 0,003 - 0,497 0,129 0,005 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 8: X to play 63 GNU Backgammon Position ID: 2M7BESCw5+BgQA Match ID : cAnvABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O | | X O X | 1 point | O O O | | X O X | | O | | O X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | X O | | X X | | X O | Rolled 63 | O X X | X | X O O | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 139, X 158 * juggler moves bar/16 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,263 (Money: -0,247) 0,419 0,091 0,003 - 0,581 0,175 0,004 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -0,425 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +1,425) 3. Double, take -1,117 ( -0,692) Proper cube action: No double, take (32,7%) Rolled 63 (+0,018): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply bar/16 Eq.: -0,302 0,446 0,078 0,002 - 0,554 0,135 0,004 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply bar/22 13/7 Eq.: -0,581 ( -0,279) 0,397 0,106 0,004 - 0,603 0,240 0,010 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 0-ply bar/22 8/2 Eq.: -0,676 ( -0,373) 0,374 0,089 0,002 - 0,626 0,224 0,009 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 9: O to play 16 GNU Backgammon Position ID: sOfgyADYzsERIA Match ID : MIH4ABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O | | X O X X | 1 point | O O O | | X O X | Rolled 16 | O | | O X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | X O | | X X | | X O | | O X X | | X O O | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 139, X 149 * kitwoolsey moves 16/9* Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +0,179 (Money: +0,167) 0,554 0,135 0,004 - 0,446 0,078 0,002 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +0,302 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +0,698) 3. Double, take +0,141 ( -0,161) Proper cube action: No double, take (18,7%) Rolled 16 (+0,159): * 1. Cubeful 0-ply 16/9* Eq.: +0,561 0,613 0,211 0,004 - 0,387 0,077 0,003 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 2. Cubeful 0-ply 16/10 6/5 Eq.: +0,006 ( -0,555) 0,478 0,112 0,001 - 0,522 0,097 0,003 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 3. Cubeful 0-ply 24/23 16/10 Eq.: +0,005 ( -0,556) 0,480 0,110 0,001 - 0,520 0,099 0,003 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 4. Cubeful 0-ply 24/18 6/5 Eq.: -0,018 ( -0,579) 0,487 0,087 0,001 - 0,513 0,113 0,004 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 5. Cubeful 0-ply 24/18 16/15 Eq.: -0,042 ( -0,603) 0,479 0,087 0,001 - 0,521 0,114 0,004 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 10: X to play 43 GNU Backgammon Position ID: 2M6FAyCw5+BgQA Match ID : cAnuABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O | | X O X | | O | | O X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | X O | | X X | | X O | Rolled 43 | O X X | X | X O | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 132, X 158 * juggler moves bar/18 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,386 (Money: -0,370) 0,379 0,074 0,002 - 0,621 0,200 0,004 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -0,643 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +1,643) 3. Double, take -1,477 ( -0,834) Proper cube action: No double, take (33,7%) Rolled 43 (+0,247): * 1. Cubeful 0-ply bar/18 Eq.: -0,255 0,444 0,058 0,001 - 0,556 0,094 0,001 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 2. Cubeful 0-ply bar/22 13/9 Eq.: -0,643 ( -0,388) 0,385 0,083 0,002 - 0,615 0,230 0,009 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 3. Cubeful 0-ply bar/22 8/4 Eq.: -0,878 ( -0,623) 0,360 0,080 0,002 - 0,640 0,277 0,012 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 4. Cubeful 0-ply bar/22 6/2 Eq.: -0,996 ( -0,741) 0,340 0,074 0,002 - 0,660 0,285 0,011 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 5. Cubeful 0-ply bar/22 5/1* Eq.: -1,015 ( -0,760) 0,273 0,052 0,001 - 0,727 0,365 0,017 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 11: O to play 34 GNU Backgammon Position ID: sOfg4ADYzoUDIA Match ID : MIHxABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O | | X O X | Rolled 34 | O | | X O X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | X O | | X X | | X O | | O X X | | X O | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 132, X 151 * kitwoolsey moves 24/21 13/9 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +0,167 (Money: +0,157) 0,566 0,092 0,002 - 0,434 0,067 0,001 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +0,281 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +0,719) 3. Double, take +0,122 ( -0,159) Proper cube action: No double, take (18,1%) Rolled 34 (+0,021): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 24/21 13/9 Eq.: +0,450 0,618 0,097 0,001 - 0,382 0,062 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 24/21 9/5 Eq.: +0,406 ( -0,044) 0,603 0,108 0,001 - 0,397 0,067 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 13/9 8/5 Eq.: +0,323 ( -0,127) 0,578 0,107 0,001 - 0,422 0,070 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 13/9 6/3 Eq.: +0,306 ( -0,144) 0,573 0,108 0,001 - 0,427 0,074 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 9/5 8/5 Eq.: +0,290 ( -0,160) 0,566 0,114 0,001 - 0,434 0,074 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 12: X to play 26 GNU Backgammon Position ID: 2M4NAwSw5+DgAA Match ID : cAn5ABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O | | X O O X | | O | | X O X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | X | | X X | | X O | Rolled 26 | O X X | | X O | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 125, X 151 * juggler moves 13/5 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,279 (Money: -0,270) 0,382 0,062 0,001 - 0,618 0,097 0,001 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -0,450 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +1,450) 3. Double, take -1,174 ( -0,724) Proper cube action: No double, take (33,3%) Rolled 26 (-0,071): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 13/5 Eq.: -0,417 0,387 0,052 0,001 - 0,613 0,059 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 13/7 6/4* Eq.: -0,494 ( -0,076) 0,408 0,077 0,001 - 0,592 0,197 0,006 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 13/11 8/2 Eq.: -0,587 ( -0,170) 0,348 0,051 0,001 - 0,652 0,105 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 13/7 8/6 Eq.: -0,641 ( -0,223) 0,346 0,052 0,001 - 0,654 0,126 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 0-ply 8/2 6/4* Eq.: -0,893 ( -0,476) 0,343 0,070 0,001 - 0,657 0,244 0,008 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 13: O to play 42 GNU Backgammon Position ID: cM/B4ADYzg0DBA Match ID : MAHqABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O | | X O O X | Rolled 42 | O | | X O | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X X | | X | | X X | | X O | | O X X | | X O | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 125, X 143 * kitwoolsey moves 8/2 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +0,241 (Money: +0,235) 0,613 0,059 0,001 - 0,387 0,052 0,001 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +0,417 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +0,583) 3. Double, take +0,299 ( -0,119) Proper cube action: No double, take (16,9%) Rolled 42 (-0,228): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 8/2 Eq.: +0,304 0,582 0,086 0,001 - 0,418 0,078 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 8/4 6/4 Eq.: +0,237 ( -0,067) 0,563 0,090 0,001 - 0,437 0,086 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 6/2 4/2 Eq.: +0,230 ( -0,074) 0,548 0,130 0,002 - 0,452 0,101 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 9/5 8/6 Eq.: +0,136 ( -0,168) 0,529 0,100 0,001 - 0,471 0,097 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 8/4 5/3 Eq.: +0,130 ( -0,174) 0,519 0,136 0,003 - 0,481 0,121 0,004 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 14: X to play 51 GNU Backgammon Position ID: sp0NAwRwz8HgAA Match ID : cInmABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O | | X O O X | | O | | X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X X | | X | | X X | | X O | Rolled 51 | O X X | | X O | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 119, X 143 * juggler moves 18/13 5/4* Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,181 (Money: -0,172) 0,418 0,078 0,002 - 0,582 0,086 0,001 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -0,304 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +1,304) 3. Double, take -0,927 ( -0,623) Proper cube action: No double, take (32,3%) Rolled 51 (-0,125): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 18/13 5/4* Eq.: -0,277 0,452 0,101 0,002 - 0,548 0,165 0,005 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 18/13 6/5 Eq.: -0,388 ( -0,111) 0,397 0,055 0,001 - 0,603 0,065 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 13/8 5/4* Eq.: -0,447 ( -0,170) 0,414 0,097 0,002 - 0,586 0,210 0,007 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 8/3 6/5 Eq.: -0,453 ( -0,176) 0,382 0,064 0,001 - 0,618 0,085 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 8/2 Eq.: -0,463 ( -0,186) 0,376 0,060 0,001 - 0,624 0,081 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 15: O to play 44 GNU Backgammon Position ID: aM/BwQCynQ0DQA Match ID : MAHyABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O | O | X O O X | 1 point | O O O | | X O O X | Rolled 44 | O | | X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | X | | X X | | X O | | X X X | | X O | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 123, X 137 * kitwoolsey moves bar/21* 13/9(2) 6/2 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +0,178 (Money: +0,162) 0,548 0,165 0,005 - 0,452 0,101 0,002 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +0,277 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +0,723) 3. Double, take +0,151 ( -0,126) Proper cube action: No double, take (14,8%) Alert: very lucky roll! ( +0,643) Rolled 44 (+0,643): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply bar/21* 13/9(2) 6/2 Eq.: +1,112 0,761 0,381 0,004 - 0,239 0,025 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply bar/21* 13/5 6/2 Eq.: +1,082 ( -0,030) 0,728 0,415 0,007 - 0,272 0,040 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply bar/21* 9/5(2) 6/2 Eq.: +1,053 ( -0,059) 0,727 0,374 0,006 - 0,273 0,038 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply bar/21* 8/4(2) 6/2 Eq.: +1,021 ( -0,091) 0,709 0,360 0,007 - 0,291 0,042 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply bar/21* 6/2 5/1(2) Eq.: +0,996 ( -0,116) 0,704 0,339 0,003 - 0,296 0,049 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 16: X to play 36 GNU Backgammon Position ID: Zps9AASw5+BgQA Match ID : cIn5ABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O O | | X O O X | | | | O X | | | | O | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | X | | X X | | X | Rolled 36 | O X X | X | X | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 107, X 158 * juggler moves bar/22 8/2 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,907 (Money: -0,881) 0,239 0,025 0,001 - 0,761 0,381 0,004 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -1,112 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +2,112) 3. Double, take -2,325 ( -1,213) Proper cube action: No double, take (36,5%) Rolled 36 (-0,021): 1. Cubeful 2-ply bar/22 13/7 Eq.: -1,080 0,273 0,053 0,001 - 0,727 0,483 0,017 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * 2. Cubeful 2-ply bar/22 8/2 Eq.: -1,114 ( -0,033) 0,251 0,050 0,001 - 0,749 0,440 0,012 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply bar/22 18/12 Eq.: -1,307 ( -0,227) 0,206 0,037 0,001 - 0,794 0,575 0,019 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 17: O to play 36 GNU Backgammon Position ID: Ys/gYAhmmz0ABA Match ID : MIH5ABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O X O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O O | | X O O X | Rolled 36 | | | O X | | | | O | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | | | X X | | X | | X O X X | | X | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 107, X 149 * kitwoolsey moves 9/6 9/3* Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +0,930 (Money: +0,899) 0,749 0,440 0,012 - 0,251 0,050 0,001 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +1,114 2. Double, take +1,812 ( +0,699) 3. Double, pass +1,000 ( -0,114) Proper cube action: Too good to double, pass (14,0%) Rolled 36 (+0,038): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 9/6 9/3* Eq.: +1,222 0,770 0,507 0,008 - 0,230 0,043 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 21/18 9/3* Eq.: +1,136 ( -0,086) 0,765 0,455 0,009 - 0,235 0,046 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 21/15 9/6 Eq.: +1,088 ( -0,134) 0,801 0,325 0,007 - 0,199 0,027 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 9/3* 8/5 Eq.: +1,067 ( -0,155) 0,734 0,470 0,009 - 0,266 0,057 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 9/3* 6/3 Eq.: +1,049 ( -0,173) 0,742 0,423 0,007 - 0,258 0,045 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 18: X to play 24 GNU Backgammon Position ID: 1nY2AARiz+BgQA Match ID : cAnxABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O O | | X O O X | | O | | X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | | | X X | | X | Rolled 24 | X O X X | X | X | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 98, X 152 * juggler cannot move Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -1,044 (Money: -1,010) 0,230 0,043 0,002 - 0,770 0,507 0,008 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -1,222 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +2,222) 3. Double, take -2,572 ( -1,350) Proper cube action: No double, take (37,8%) Rolled 24 (-0,268): * Cannot move Move number 19: O to play 13 GNU Backgammon Position ID: Ys/gYEDWdjYABA Match ID : MIHsABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O O | | X O O X | Rolled 13 | O | | X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | | | X X | | X | | X O X X | X | X | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 98, X 152 * kitwoolsey moves 9/8 6/3 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +1,379 (Money: +1,337) 0,857 0,628 0,014 - 0,143 0,019 0,000 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +1,469 2. Double, take +2,819 ( +1,351) 3. Double, pass +1,000 ( -0,469) Proper cube action: Too good to double, pass (25,8%) Rolled 13 (-0,087): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 9/8 6/3 Eq.: +1,470 0,863 0,626 0,008 - 0,137 0,014 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 21/18 3/2 Eq.: +1,256 ( -0,213) 0,819 0,478 0,006 - 0,181 0,023 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 8/5 3/2 Eq.: +1,230 ( -0,239) 0,771 0,512 0,011 - 0,229 0,035 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 21/18 6/5 Eq.: +1,220 ( -0,250) 0,780 0,513 0,010 - 0,220 0,045 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 9/5 Eq.: +1,190 ( -0,279) 0,765 0,535 0,007 - 0,235 0,047 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 20: X to play 24 GNU Backgammon Position ID: tm0uAARiz+BgQA Match ID : cAnxABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X O X | | | | O X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | | | X X | | X | Rolled 24 | X O X X | X | X | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 94, X 152 * juggler cannot move Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -1,386 (Money: -1,345) 0,137 0,014 0,001 - 0,863 0,626 0,008 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -1,470 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +2,470) 3. Double, take -3,104 ( -1,634) Proper cube action: No double, take (39,8%) Rolled 24 (-0,115): * Cannot move Move number 21: O to play 15 GNU Backgammon Position ID: Ys/gYEC2bS4ABA Match ID : MIH0ABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X O X | Rolled 15 | | | O X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | | | X X | | X | | X O X X | X | X | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 94, X 152 * kitwoolsey moves 21/15 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +1,454 (Money: +1,411) 0,881 0,649 0,014 - 0,119 0,013 0,000 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +1,525 2. Double, take +2,993 ( +1,467) 3. Double, pass +1,000 ( -0,525) Proper cube action: Too good to double, pass (26,4%) Rolled 15 (-0,029): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 21/15 Eq.: +1,568 0,899 0,668 0,010 - 0,101 0,009 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 21/16 9/8 Eq.: +1,556 ( -0,012) 0,907 0,646 0,006 - 0,093 0,006 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 9/3 Eq.: +1,517 ( -0,051) 0,875 0,656 0,006 - 0,125 0,010 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 8/2 Eq.: +1,492 ( -0,075) 0,860 0,653 0,008 - 0,140 0,014 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 0-ply 9/4 2/1 Eq.: +1,162 ( -0,406) 0,744 0,519 0,010 - 0,256 0,046 0,002 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 22: X to play 14 GNU Backgammon Position ID: tm0uEABiz+BgQA Match ID : cInwABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X O X | | | | O X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | X | | | | X | | | | X X | | X | Rolled 14 | X X X | X | X O | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 88, X 152 * juggler moves bar/24 6/2 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -1,510 (Money: -1,466) 0,101 0,009 0,000 - 0,899 0,668 0,010 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -1,568 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +2,568) 3. Double, take -3,316 ( -1,748) Proper cube action: No double, take (40,5%) Rolled 14 (+0,253): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply bar/24 6/2 Eq.: -1,245 0,166 0,023 0,000 - 0,834 0,462 0,009 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply bar/24 13/9 Eq.: -1,348 ( -0,103) 0,133 0,017 0,000 - 0,867 0,494 0,014 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply bar/24 8/4 Eq.: -1,359 ( -0,114) 0,151 0,030 0,001 - 0,849 0,538 0,017 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply bar/24 5/1 Eq.: -1,490 ( -0,245) 0,117 0,022 0,000 - 0,883 0,618 0,016 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 0-ply bar/24 18/14 Eq.: -1,598 ( -0,353) 0,108 0,015 0,000 - 0,892 0,691 0,034 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 23: O to play 33 GNU Backgammon Position ID: xs7gYCC2bS4QAA Match ID : MIHtABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | X O O O O O | | X O O X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X O X | Rolled 33 | | | O X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | | | | | X | | | | X X X | | X | | X X X | | X O | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 88, X 147 * kitwoolsey moves 9/6 8/5 4/1*(2) Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +1,146 (Money: +1,115) 0,834 0,462 0,009 - 0,166 0,023 0,000 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +1,245 2. Double, take +2,310 ( +1,065) 3. Double, pass +1,000 ( -0,245) Proper cube action: Too good to double, pass (18,7%) Rolled 33 (+0,222): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 9/6 8/5 4/1*(2) Eq.: +1,595 0,901 0,696 0,004 - 0,099 0,007 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 9/3 4/1*(2) Eq.: +1,474 ( -0,120) 0,865 0,618 0,003 - 0,135 0,010 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 8/2 4/1*(2) Eq.: +1,383 ( -0,211) 0,829 0,607 0,004 - 0,171 0,026 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 8/5(2) 4/1*(2) Eq.: +1,348 ( -0,247) 0,817 0,621 0,005 - 0,183 0,039 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 0-ply 9/6 8/5(3) Eq.: +1,128 ( -0,467) 0,770 0,415 0,009 - 0,230 0,015 0,000 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 24: X to play 42 GNU Backgammon Position ID: 29wZEADGzuBgQA Match ID : cAnqABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O | | X O X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X O X | | O O | | X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | | | | | X | | | | X X X | | X | Rolled 42 | X X X | X | X O | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 76, X 148 * juggler moves bar/21 6/4 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -1,541 (Money: -1,496) 0,099 0,007 0,000 - 0,901 0,696 0,004 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -1,595 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +2,595) 3. Double, take -3,374 ( -1,779) Proper cube action: No double, take (40,7%) Alert: doubtful move ( -0,052) Rolled 42 (+0,067): 1. Cubeful 2-ply bar/21 13/11 Eq.: -1,418 0,143 0,017 0,000 - 0,857 0,620 0,014 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply bar/21 8/6 Eq.: -1,431 ( -0,013) 0,132 0,018 0,000 - 0,868 0,603 0,008 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * 3. Cubeful 2-ply bar/21 6/4 Eq.: -1,470 ( -0,052) 0,135 0,018 0,000 - 0,865 0,639 0,011 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply bar/21 5/3 Eq.: -1,608 ( -0,190) 0,101 0,015 0,000 - 0,899 0,704 0,015 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply bar/21 18/16 Eq.: -1,638 ( -0,220) 0,100 0,013 0,000 - 0,900 0,748 0,018 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Annotation: Gnubg's choice looked too risky to me but actually loses *fewer* gammons (additionally to losing fewer games overall) . Sure the 1 is duplicated, and being hit now is gammonish even with a single checker on the bar, so the aggressive 13/11 comes at little cost. Move number 25: O to play 36 GNU Backgammon Position ID: ps3gYATb3BkQAA Match ID : MIH5ABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O X O O | | X O X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X O X | Rolled 36 | O O | | X | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | | | | | | | | | X X X | | X | | X X X X | | X O | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 76, X 142 * kitwoolsey moves 15/6 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +1,403 (Money: +1,361) 0,865 0,639 0,011 - 0,135 0,018 0,000 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +1,470 2. Double, take +2,876 ( +1,406) 3. Double, pass +1,000 ( -0,470) Proper cube action: Too good to double, pass (25,0%) Rolled 36 (-0,123): * 1. Cubeful 0-ply 15/6 Eq.: +1,443 0,947 0,483 0,001 - 0,053 0,000 0,000 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 2. Cubeful 0-ply 15/9 6/3 Eq.: +1,110 ( -0,333) 0,767 0,405 0,004 - 0,233 0,020 0,000 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 3. Cubeful 0-ply 15/9 5/2 Eq.: +1,075 ( -0,368) 0,753 0,390 0,004 - 0,247 0,022 0,000 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 4. Cubeful 0-ply 8/5 8/2 Eq.: +0,985 ( -0,458) 0,703 0,370 0,004 - 0,297 0,018 0,000 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] 5. Cubeful 0-ply 15/9 8/5 Eq.: +0,828 ( -0,615) 0,636 0,373 0,005 - 0,364 0,083 0,008 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 26: X to play 35 GNU Backgammon Position ID: 29wzAACmzeBgBA Match ID : cIn1ABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O X O O | | X O X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X O X | | O O | | X | | O | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | | | | | | | | | X X X | | X | Rolled 35 | X X X X | | X | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 67, X 142 * juggler moves 21/18 13/8 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -1,293 (Money: -1,271) 0,036 0,002 0,000 - 0,964 0,344 0,001 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -1,319 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +2,319) 3. Double, take -2,763 ( -1,443) Proper cube action: No double, take (38,4%) Rolled 35 (+0,050): 1. Cubeful 2-ply 21/16 13/10 Eq.: -1,234 0,031 0,002 0,000 - 0,969 0,265 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * 2. Cubeful 2-ply 21/18 13/8 Eq.: -1,271 ( -0,037) 0,022 0,003 0,000 - 0,978 0,284 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 21/13 Eq.: -1,276 ( -0,041) 0,027 0,002 0,000 - 0,973 0,293 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 21/16 8/5 Eq.: -1,291 ( -0,057) 0,013 0,001 0,000 - 0,987 0,290 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 21/18 8/3 Eq.: -1,333 ( -0,099) 0,014 0,002 0,000 - 0,986 0,332 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 27: O to play 16 GNU Backgammon Position ID: ps3B4ADb3DMAAA Match ID : MIH4ABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O | | X O X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X O X | Rolled 16 | O O | | X | | O | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | | | | | | | X | | X X X | | X | | X X X X | | X | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 67, X 134 * kitwoolsey moves 8/2 5/4 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +1,255 (Money: +1,236) 0,978 0,284 0,000 - 0,022 0,003 0,000 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +1,271 2. Double, take +2,607 ( +1,336) 3. Double, pass +1,000 ( -0,271) Proper cube action: Too good to double, pass (16,9%) Rolled 16 (-0,113): 1. Cubeful 2-ply 8/2 6/5 Eq.: +1,083 0,877 0,236 0,001 - 0,123 0,006 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * 2. Cubeful 2-ply 8/2 5/4 Eq.: +1,076 ( -0,007) 0,872 0,231 0,002 - 0,128 0,007 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 8/1 Eq.: +1,064 ( -0,019) 0,874 0,220 0,001 - 0,126 0,006 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 8/2 3/2 Eq.: +0,917 ( -0,166) 0,843 0,214 0,002 - 0,157 0,012 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 28: X to play 11 GNU Backgammon Position ID: u7UnAACmzcHgAA Match ID : cInkABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | | X O X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X X | | O O | | X | | O | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match (Cube: 1) | | | | | | | | | | | X | | X X X | | X | Rolled 11 | X X X X | | X | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 60, X 134 * juggler moves 18/17* 13/12 4/2 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,985 (Money: -0,970) 0,128 0,007 0,000 - 0,872 0,231 0,002 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -1,076 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +2,076) 3. Double, take -2,249 ( -1,174) Proper cube action: No double, take (36,1%) Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,537) Rolled 11 (+0,537): 1. Cubeful 2-ply 18/17*(2) 4/2 Eq.: -0,464 0,409 0,018 0,000 - 0,591 0,144 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * 2. Cubeful 2-ply 18/17* 13/12 4/2 Eq.: -0,474 ( -0,010) 0,415 0,019 0,000 - 0,585 0,157 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 18/17*(2) 5/4(2) Eq.: -0,479 ( -0,015) 0,409 0,020 0,000 - 0,591 0,161 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 18/17* 13/12 5/4(2) Eq.: -0,488 ( -0,024) 0,412 0,020 0,000 - 0,588 0,170 0,004 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 18/17*/16 4/2 Eq.: -0,488 ( -0,024) 0,406 0,017 0,000 - 0,594 0,148 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Annotation: I thought it was a good cube. My lost checker on the 2... but Kit has a long way home, and there are no escaping or hitting doubles from the bar in the subsequent scenarios. Move number 29: O doubles to 2 GNU Backgammon Position ID: js2h0AC7tQcAQA Match ID : MBngABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | O | X X X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X | | O O | | | | O | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ | | | | | | | | | X | | X | | X X X | | X | Cube offered at 2 | X X X | | X X | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 77, X 130 * juggler accepts Alert: wrong double ( -0,065)! Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +0,322 (Money: +0,311) 0,585 0,157 0,003 - 0,415 0,019 0,000 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +0,474 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +0,526) 3. Double, take +0,409 ( -0,065) Proper cube action: No double, take (11,1%) Move number 30: O to play 61 GNU Backgammon Position ID: js2h0AC7tQcAQA Match ID : EQHnABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | O | X X X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X | Rolled 61 | O O | | | | O | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match | | | | | | | | | X | | X | | X X X | | X | | X X X | | X X | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler (Cube: 2) Pip counts: O 77, X 130 * kitwoolsey moves bar/18 Rolled 61 (-0,050): * 1. Cubeful 0-ply bar/18 Eq.: +0,282 0,614 0,197 0,001 - 0,386 0,021 0,000 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 31: X to play 22 GNU Backgammon Position ID: u7UHgACOzaHQAA Match ID : UQnpABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | | X X X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X | | O O | | | | O | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match | | | | | | | | | X | | X | | X X X | | X | Rolled 22 | X X X | | O X X | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler (Cube: 2) Pip counts: O 70, X 130 * juggler moves 13/7*/5 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,433 (Money: -0,401) 0,392 0,021 0,000 - 0,608 0,198 0,009 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -0,284 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +1,284) 3. Double, take -1,203 ( -0,919) Proper cube action: No redouble, take (41,7%) Rolled 22 (-0,021): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 13/7*/5 Eq.: -0,120 0,421 0,017 0,000 - 0,579 0,119 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 18/16 13/7* Eq.: -0,125 ( -0,005) 0,450 0,022 0,000 - 0,550 0,175 0,012 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 17/15 13/7* Eq.: -0,155 ( -0,035) 0,435 0,023 0,000 - 0,565 0,179 0,006 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 13/7* 8/6 Eq.: -0,196 ( -0,076) 0,422 0,024 0,000 - 0,578 0,188 0,006 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 13/7* 12/10 Eq.: -0,220 ( -0,101) 0,424 0,024 0,000 - 0,576 0,215 0,007 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 32: O to play 26 GNU Backgammon Position ID: jptD0AC7tQcAQA Match ID : EQH5ABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | O | X X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X | Rolled 26 | O O | | | | O | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match | | | | | | | | | X X | | X | | X X X | | X | | X X X | | X X | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler (Cube: 2) Pip counts: O 77, X 122 * kitwoolsey cannot move Rolled 26 (-0,273): * Cannot move Move number 33: X to play 46 GNU Backgammon Position ID: u7UHAECOm0PQAA Match ID : UQn6ABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | O | X X | 1 point | O O O O O | | X | | O O | | | | O | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match | | | | | | | | | X X | | X | | X X X | | X | Rolled 46 | X X X | | X X | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler (Cube: 2) Pip counts: O 77, X 122 * juggler moves 18/12 17/13 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,201 (Money: -0,188) 0,450 0,022 0,000 - 0,550 0,109 0,001 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -0,037 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +1,037) 3. Double, take -0,834 ( -0,798) Proper cube action: No redouble, take (43,5%) Rolled 46 (-0,015): 1. Cubeful 2-ply 18/14 17/11 Eq.: +0,050 0,475 0,018 0,000 - 0,525 0,079 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 18/14 12/6 Eq.: +0,049 ( -0,001) 0,472 0,017 0,000 - 0,528 0,074 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 18/14 18/12 Eq.: +0,015 ( -0,035) 0,459 0,017 0,000 - 0,541 0,076 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * 4. Cubeful 2-ply 18/12 17/13 Eq.: +0,013 ( -0,037) 0,462 0,017 0,000 - 0,538 0,084 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 17/13 12/6 Eq.: +0,000 ( -0,050) 0,453 0,016 0,000 - 0,547 0,077 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 34: O to play 45 GNU Backgammon Position ID: jpvDggC7tQcAQA Match ID : EQH2ABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | O | X X | 1 point | O O O O O | | | Rolled 45 | O O | | | | O | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match | | | | | | | | | X X | | X | | X X X | | X X | | X X X | | X X | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler (Cube: 2) Pip counts: O 77, X 112 * kitwoolsey moves bar/21 6/1 Alert: doubtful move ( -0,068) Rolled 45 (+0,148): 1. Cubeful 2-ply bar/16 Eq.: +0,258 0,644 0,101 0,001 - 0,356 0,016 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * ?? Cubeful 2-ply bar/21 6/1 Eq.: +0,190 ( -0,068) 0,594 0,155 0,002 - 0,406 0,028 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 35: X to play 33 GNU Backgammon Position ID: d2sHAASOm8OCAA Match ID : UYntABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | | X X | 1 point | O O O O O | | | | O O O | | | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match | | | | | | | | | X X | | X | | X X X | | X X | Rolled 33 | X O X X | | X X | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler (Cube: 2) Pip counts: O 68, X 112 * juggler moves 18/15 13/4* Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,335 (Money: -0,316) 0,406 0,028 0,000 - 0,594 0,155 0,002 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double -0,190 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +1,190) 3. Double, take -1,137 ( -0,947) Proper cube action: No redouble, take (44,3%) Rolled 33 (-0,039): 1. Cubeful 2-ply 18/15 12/9(2) 8/5 Eq.: -0,089 0,421 0,024 0,000 - 0,579 0,091 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * 2. Cubeful 2-ply 18/15 13/4* Eq.: -0,106 ( -0,017) 0,456 0,032 0,000 - 0,544 0,184 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 18/9 12/9 Eq.: -0,144 ( -0,055) 0,400 0,026 0,000 - 0,600 0,097 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 12/9(2) 8/2 Eq.: -0,173 ( -0,083) 0,387 0,014 0,000 - 0,613 0,089 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 13/4* 8/5 Eq.: -0,174 ( -0,085) 0,428 0,028 0,000 - 0,572 0,184 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Annotation: My choice wins more games but loses too many times gammon. Move number 36: O to play 26 GNU Backgammon Position ID: TjeHEQB3awcAQA Match ID : EQH5ABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | O | X | 1 point | O O O O O | | | Rolled 26 | O O O | | | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match | | | | | | | | | X X | | X | | X X X | | X X | | X X X X | | X X | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler (Cube: 2) Pip counts: O 72, X 100 * kitwoolsey cannot move Alert: very unlucky roll! ( -0,630) Rolled 26 (-0,630): * Cannot move Move number 37: X to play 13 GNU Backgammon Position ID: d2sHAEBON4cRAA Match ID : UYnsABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | O | X | 1 point | O O O O O | | | | O O O | | | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match | | | | | | | | | X X | | X | | X X X | | X X | Rolled 13 | X X X X | | X X | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler (Cube: 2) Pip counts: O 72, X 100 * juggler moves 8/4 Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +0,237 (Money: +0,239) 0,630 0,028 0,001 - 0,370 0,050 0,000 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +0,486 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +0,514) 3. Double, take +0,206 ( -0,279) Proper cube action: No redouble, take (35,2%) Rolled 13 (+0,069): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply 8/4 Eq.: +0,595 0,669 0,029 0,000 - 0,331 0,039 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply 12/9 5/4 Eq.: +0,574 ( -0,021) 0,667 0,032 0,000 - 0,333 0,054 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 15/12 5/4 Eq.: +0,450 ( -0,145) 0,622 0,025 0,000 - 0,378 0,031 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 4/1 2/1 Eq.: +0,355 ( -0,240) 0,587 0,023 0,000 - 0,413 0,045 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 0-ply 15/11 Eq.: -0,058 ( -0,652) 0,465 0,030 0,000 - 0,535 0,171 0,003 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Move number 38: O to play 32 GNU Backgammon Position ID: zm6GEQB3awcAQA Match ID : EYHpABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | O | X | 1 point | O O O O O | | | Rolled 32 | O O O | | | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match | | | | | | | | | X X | | | | X X X X | | X X | | X X X X | | X X | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler (Cube: 2) Pip counts: O 72, X 96 * kitwoolsey moves bar/22 6/4 Rolled 32 (+0,286): * 1. Cubeful 2-ply bar/22 6/4 Eq.: -0,173 0,485 0,057 0,000 - 0,515 0,022 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2. Cubeful 2-ply bar/22 4/2 Eq.: -0,386 ( -0,213) 0,402 0,062 0,000 - 0,598 0,032 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply bar/22 5/3 Eq.: -0,533 ( -0,360) 0,342 0,069 0,001 - 0,658 0,065 0,002 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply bar/22 3/1 Eq.: -0,598 ( -0,426) 0,315 0,069 0,002 - 0,685 0,081 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Move number 39: X to play 54 GNU Backgammon Position ID: d9sGAAjOboYRAA Match ID : UYnyABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | | X | 1 point | O O O O O O | | | | O O | | | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v 7 point match | | | | | | | | | X X | | | | X X X X | | X X | Rolled 54 | X O X X X | | X X | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler (Cube: 2) Pip counts: O 67, X 96 * juggler moves 8/4 8/3* Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity -0,009 (Money: -0,005) 0,515 0,022 0,000 - 0,485 0,057 0,000 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. No double +0,173 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +0,827) 3. Double, take -0,447 ( -0,620) Proper cube action: No redouble, take (42,8%) Alert: doubtful move ( -0,062) Rolled 54 (-0,099): 1. Cubeful 2-ply 12/3* Eq.: +0,206 0,571 0,035 0,000 - 0,429 0,185 0,005 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] * 2. Cubeful 2-ply 8/4 8/3* Eq.: +0,144 ( -0,062) 0,526 0,030 0,000 - 0,474 0,177 0,003 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3. Cubeful 2-ply 15/11 8/3* Eq.: +0,068 ( -0,138) 0,535 0,029 0,000 - 0,465 0,234 0,007 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4. Cubeful 2-ply 15/6 Eq.: +0,040 ( -0,165) 0,451 0,014 0,000 - 0,549 0,021 0,000 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5. Cubeful 2-ply 15/10 5/1 Eq.: -0,178 ( -0,383) 0,372 0,013 0,000 - 0,628 0,057 0,001 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] Annotation: I was of course afraid to leave more blots but keeping the 8pt looks so much better in retrospect. Move number 40: O to play 26 GNU Backgammon Position ID: rruBEQB32wYAQA Match ID : EQH5ABAAEAAA +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | O | X | 1 point | O O O O O O | | | Rolled 26 | O O | | | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |^ 7 point match | | | | | | | | | X X X | | | | X X X X | | X | | X X X X X | | X | 2 points +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ X: juggler (Cube: 2) Pip counts: O 70, X 87 * kitwoolsey cannot move Alert: very unlucky roll! ( -0,709) Rolled 26 (-0,709): * Cannot move Move number 41: X doubles to 4 GNU Backgammon Position ID: d9sGAECuu4ERAA Match ID : URHgABAAEAAA +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: kitwoolsey | O O O O O O | O | X | 1 point | O O O O O O | | | Cube offered at 4 | O O | | | | | | | | | | | | |BAR| |v | | | | | | | | | X X X | | | | X X X X | | X | | X X X X X | | X | 2 points +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: juggler Pip counts: O 70, X 87 * kitwoolsey rejects Alert: wrong pass ( -0,008)! Cube analysis 2-ply cubeless equity +0,538 (Money: +0,538) 0,771 0,028 0,001 - 0,229 0,032 0,000 Cubeful equities: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 1. Double, take +0,992 2. Double, pass +1,000 ( +0,008) 3. No double +0,787 ( -0,205) Proper cube action: Redouble, take juggler wins 2 points Game statistics for game 4 Player kitwoolsey juggler Checkerplay statistics Total moves 20 19 Unforced moves 16 16 Unmarked moves 0 0 Moves marked good 19 16 Moves marked doubtful 1 3 Moves marked bad 0 0 Moves marked very bad 0 0 Error rate (total) -0,115 ( -1,331%) -0,307 ( -3,078%) Error rate (per move) -7,2 ( -0,083%) -19,2 ( -0,192%) Chequerplay rating Expert Casual player Luck statistics Rolls marked very lucky 1 0 Rolls marked lucky 0 2 Rolls unmarked 17 17 Rolls marked unlucky 0 0 Rolls marked very unlucky 2 0 Luck rate (total) -0,328 (-11,354%) +0,540 ( +3,169%) Luck rate (per move) -16,4 ( -0,568%) +28,4 ( +0,167%) Luck rating None Good dice, man! Cube statistics Total cube decisions 15 21 Close or actual cube decisions 7 2 Doubles 1 1 Takes 0 1 Passes 1 0 Missed doubles (below CP) 0 0 Missed doubles (above CP) 0 0 Wrong doubles (below DP) 1 (-0,065 ( -0,477%)) 0 Wrong doubles (above TG) 0 0 Wrong takes 0 0 Wrong passes 1 (-0,008 ( -0,110%)) 0 Error rate (total) -0,073 ( -0,586%) +0,000 Error rate (per cube decision) -10,4 ( -0,084%) +0,0 Cube decision rating Advanced Supernatural Overall statistics Error rate (total) -0,188 ( -1,917%) -0,307 ( -3,078%) Error rate (per decision) -8,2 ( -0,083%) -17,1 ( -0,171%) Equiv. Snowie error rate -4,8 -7,9 Overall rating Advanced Intermediate Actual result -14,60% +14,60% Luck adjusted result -0,07% +0,07% Output generated Sat Jun 28 15:50:31 2008 by GNU Backgammon 0.16-mingw (Text Export version 1.81)